Chicago White Sox at Detroit Tigers Free Pick

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The Chicago White Sox will pay a visit to Detroit to face off against their division nemesis Tigers at Comerica Park. The game gets underway 7:10 p.m. ET and NBC Sports Chicago will be airing the matchup.

Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers Odds

The White Sox are 48-61 SU and have gone 49-59 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 1.9 units for gamblers taking the moneyline, despite having lost 14.7 units ATS. Chicago is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone under in six of those seven. The Tigers, on the other hand, are 32-75 SU and 43-63 ATS. The team has lost 28.9 units for moneyline bettors and 27.6 units ATS. Detroit has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven.

Detroit games have an over/under record of 47-52-7 in 2019. The White Sox have been a decent under bet with a total record of 47-57-4.

The right-handed Lucas Giolito is projected to start for Chicago. Giolito is 11-5 with a 3.39 ERA and 150 strikeouts. He has yet to face Detroit this year, but he made five starts against the team in 2018, putting together a 2-2 record with a 6.39 ERA and 26 strikeouts.

The Tigers will turn to righty Spencer Turnbull (3-9, 3.65 ERA), who has 88 strikeouts and 38 walks, in addition to a 1.36 WHIP. Turnbull did not record a start against the White Sox in 2018.

Detroit’s pitchers have given up 5.6 runs per game overall in 2019 as a unit. Its starting pitching staff has a 5.19 ERA, 1.41 WHIP and 8.5 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 5.00 ERA, 1.45 WHIP and 8.2 K/9. In 42 games against divisional opponents, Tigers starters have an ERA of 6.29 and the bullpen’s ERA is 5.07.

The Detroit offense has put up 3.6 runs per outing, including 4.0 per game against divisional foes and 4.4 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .246/.332/.385 over its last five matchups and is 1-4 SU during that stretch.

The Tigers’ batters have been led by Nicholas Castellanos and Miguel Cabrera. Castellanos is slashing .273/.328/.462 with 11 home runs, 37 RBIs and 57 runs scored, while Cabrera’s line is .285/.346/.387 with seven homers, 43 RBIs and 27 runs scored.

For the visitors, Chicago’s pitchers have allowed 5.2 runs per game and its starters own a 5.37 ERA, 1.45 WHIP and 8.11 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.27, along with a WHIP of 1.45 and a K/9 of 8.13.

White Sox hitters have slashed .251/.306/.397 on their way to 4.1 runs scored per game this season, including 4.3 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.6 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).

Chicago’s hitters have been paced by Leury Garcia and Jose Abreu, who have combined to drive in 110 runs. Garcia is slashing .289/.323/.391 with seven home runs, 33 RBIs, 69 runs and 12 stolen bases, while Abreu (.261/.298/.469) has produced 23 homers, 77 RBIs and 51 runs scored.

The White Sox have lost 8.3 units and are 28-44 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 30 of those games, compared to 38 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Tigers have lost 28.3 units and are 32-53 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 34 of those games, compared to 46 which went under the total.

White Sox vs. Tigers Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Tigers, ATS Winner – White Sox, O/U – UNDER

Betting Notes

  • The over has hit in just one of Chicago’s last seven outings.
  • The White Sox have a total OPS of .703 this season and an OPS of .694 against right-handed pitchers. The Tigers’ OPS sits at .673 overall and .665 versus righties.
  • The Tigers have lost four of their last five games SU.
  • Detroit has recorded 19.6 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 22.0 over its last five.
  • The White Sox have hit eight home runs in their last 10 games, including five over their last five.