The Philadelphia Phillies will play host to the Chicago Cubs at Citizens Bank Park. The game gets underway 7:05 p.m. ET and NBC Sports Chicago will be airing this NL matchup.
Chicago Cubs at Philadelphia Phillies Odds
Philadelphia (receiving -120 odds) is favored over Chicago and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this night game at 9 runs. The odds for betting on the game’s total currently sit at -110 for both the over and the under. Runline odds stand at -190 for taking the Cubs +1.5 runs and +165 for the Phillies -1.5.
The Cubs are 64-55 SU and have gone 57-61 against the spread (ATS). The team hasn’t moved the needle a whole lot this year, losing 1.8 units for moneyline gamblers and 2.8 units ATS. Chicago is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The Phillies, on the other hand, are 61-58 SU and 53-65 ATS. The team has lost 7.2 units for moneyline bettors and 13.8 units ATS. Philadelphia has covered the spread just twice over its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven.
Neither side has positioned itself as a strong over/under play this season. Philadelphia games have a 56-58-4 over/under record in 2019. The Cubs have an over/under record of 55-54-9.
Cole Hamels will get the start for Chicago. The left-handed Hamels (6-3, 3.09 ERA) has racked up 105 strikeouts in 107.2 innings so far. He’s 0-0 with six strikeouts and a 6.75 ERA against Philadelphia this year.
The Phillies will send righty Aaron Nola (10-3, 3.67 ERA) to the mound. Nola has 166 strikeouts and 59 walks to his name, along with a 1.29 WHIP. Nola is 1-0 with six strikeouts and a 5.06 ERA in one start against Chicago this year.
As a unit, Philadelphia’s pitching staff has given up 5.0 runs per game overall in 2019. The club’s starters have a 4.55 ERA, 1.35 WHIP and 8.1 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.75 ERA, 1.45 WHIP and 9.2 K/9.
The Philadelphia hitters are putting up 4.7 runs per contest, including 4.0 per game over its last 10 games and 4.0 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .208/.300/.346 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.
The Phillies’ offense has been led by second baseman Cesar Hernandez and shortstop Jean Segura. Hernandez is slashing .283/.328/.399 with eight home runs, 51 RBIs and 51 runs scored, while Segura is batting .284 with 11 homers, 48 RBIs and 62 runs scored.
For the visitors, Chicago’s pitchers have allowed 4.4 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.04 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 8.85 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.04, along with a WHIP of 1.27.
Cubs hitters have slashed .255/.336/.452 on their way to 5.0 runs scored per game in 2019, including 5.4 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.6 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).
Chicago’s offensive production has been led by shortstop Javier Baez and third baseman Kris Bryant, who collectively have blasted 51 home runs. Baez is slashing .288/.320/.551 with 28 home runs, 81 RBIs, 82 runs and 10 steals, while Bryant (.292/.392/.533) has produced 23 homers, 58 RBIs and 86 runs scored.
The Cubs have gained 3.5 units and are 47-46 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 44 of those games, compared to 42 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Phillies have lost 8.7 units and are 11-19 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 15 of those games, compared to 15 that’ve cashed the under.
Cubs at Phillies Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Phillies, ATS Winner – Cubs, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- Chicago has tallied 17 extra-base hits over its last five contests. Philadelphia has 12 XBH over its last five.
- The Cubs have hit 19 home runs in their last 10 games. The Phillies have hit 10 over their last 10.
- The Cubs have an OPS of .788 this season and an OPS of .805 when facing right-handed pitchers. The Phillies’ OPS stands at .741 overall and .733 against righties.
- Philadelphia has recorded 19.8 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 17.2 over its last five.
