Javier Baez and the Chicago Cubs will be taking the field against their divisional rival Milwaukee Brewers at Miller Park in a Friday showdown. NBC Sports Chicago will be televising the matchup and the opening pitch is scheduled for 8:10 p.m. ET.
Chicago Cubs at Milwaukee Brewers Odds
Chicago (-120) is hosting this game as the favorite over Milwaukee (+110) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this game at 9.5 runs. The odds for betting on the game’s total sit at -110 for the over and -110 for the under. This game currently has a runline of Cubs -1.5 (+125) and Brewers +1.5 (-145).
The Brewers are 71-68 straight up (SU) and 61-77 against the spread (ATS). The team’s lost 6.7 units for moneyline bettors and 22.3 units ATS. Milwaukee has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the under has hit in six of those seven. The Cubs are 76-63 SU and have gone 66-72 against the spread. Overall, the club has lost 1.9 units for moneyline gamblers and 5.3 units ATS. Chicago has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven.
Milwaukee games have an over/under record of 59-74-5 in 2019. The Cubs have an over/under record of 61-66-11.
The left-handed Cole Hamels is the projected starter for the visiting Cubs. Hamels is 7-5 with a 3.69 ERA and 122 strikeouts. He’s 1-1 with 23 strikeouts and a 1.88 ERA against Milwaukee this year (four starts).
The Brewers will be sending righty Zach Davies (8-7, 3.76 ERA) to the mound. Davies has 87 punchouts and 45 walks to his name as well as a 1.36 WHIP. Davies is 1-2 with 11 strikeouts and a 4.21 ERA across five starts against Chicago this year.
Chicago’s pitching staff allowed 4.3 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.00 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 8.77 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.08, along with a WHIP of 1.27 and a K-per-9 of 8.86.
The Cubs offense has slashed .252/.334/.451 on its way to 4.9 runs scored per game in 2019, including 4.8 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).
Shortstop Javier Baez and third baseman Kris Bryant continue to lead Chicago’s hitters. Baez is slashing .281/.316/.532 with 29 home runs, 85 RBIs and 88 runs scored, while Bryant has a .280 average with 26 homers, 64 RBIs and 97 runs scored.
In the other dugout, Milwaukee’s pitchers have allowed 5.0 runs per game overall in 2019. The team’s starters have a 4.67 ERA, 1.39 WHIP and 8.4 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.64 ERA, 1.34 WHIP and 9.9 K/9. In 64 divisional games, Brewers starters have an ERA of 5.03 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.97.
The Milwaukee offense is putting up 4.7 runs per contest, including 4.6 per game against divisional foes and 3.4 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .211/.297/.368 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.
The Brewers’ batters have been led by outfielders Christian Yelich and Lorenzo Cain. Yelich is slashing .323/.418/.665 with 43 home runs, 93 RBIs, 96 runs and 26 stolen bases, and Cain’s line is .252/.320/.354 with eight homers, 41 RBIs, 65 runs and 16 stolen bases.
The Cubs have gained 5.4 units and are 54-54 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 49 of those games, compared to 50 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Brewers have lost 5.0 units and are 17-26 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over has hit in 13 of those games, compared to 27 that went under the total.
Cubs at Brewers Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Brewers, ATS Winner – Brewers, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- The under has cashed in six of Milwaukee’s last seven games.
- Chicago has posted 22.8 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 20.6 over its last five.
- The Cubs have hit 19 home runs in their last 10 games. The Brewers have hit 10 over their last 10.
- The Cubs have a team OPS of .785 this season and an OPS of .800 when facing right-handed pitchers. The Brewers’ OPS sits at .770 overall and .780 versus righties.
