The Miami Marlins are playing host to the Chicago Cubs at Marlins Park. WGN will be televising this NL showdown and the action gets underway at 7:10 p.m. ET.
Chicago Cubs at Miami Marlins Odds
Vegas is listing Chicago (-125) as the favorite over Miami (+115). Gamblers can wager on the game’s total with odds sitting at -120 for over eight runs and +100 for under eight. Runline odds stand at +120 for picking the Cubs -1.5 runs and -140 for the Marlins +1.5 runs.
The Cubs have gone 5-9 SU this year and are 5-9 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 6.4 units for gamblers taking the moneyline in the season’s early going and 6.0 units ATS. Chicago has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. The Marlins, on the other hand, are 4-12 SU and 7-8 ATS. The team’s lost 5.3 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 3.1 units ATS. Miami has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has cashed in four of those seven.
Miami games have an 8-6-1 over/under record so far in 2019. Chicago has an over/under record of 9-4-1.
The right-handed Yu Darvish will get the start for the visiting Cubbies. Darvish is 0-2 with a 7.50 ERA and 10 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Marlins this year and only made one start against them in 2018 (0-0, 10.38 ERA and four strikeouts across 4.1 innings).
The Marlins are putting the ball in the right hand of Trevor Richards (0-1, 2.00 ERA, 1.11 WHIP), who has 18 strikeouts and 10 walks. Richards did not register a start against the Cubs in 2018.
Miami’s pitchers have allowed 5.0 runs per game overall in 2019 as a unit. Its starters have an ERA of 4.41, a WHIP of 1.35 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.7. The bullpen has a 5.43 ERA, 1.44 WHIP and 10.2 K/9.
The Miami hitters have produced 2.9 runs per contest, including 2.4 per game over its last 10 games and 2.6 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .209/.277/.320 over its last five matchups and is 1-4 SU during that stretch.
The Marlins’ hitters have been led by second baseman Starlin Castro and third baseman Brian Anderson. Castro is hitting .215/.250/.323 with 14 hits, four RBIs and seven runs scored, while Anderson is hitting .228 with 13 hits, three RBIs and three runs scored.
In the other dugout, Chicago’s pitching staff allowed 5.9 runs per game and its starters own a 5.00 ERA, 1.55 WHIP and 8.30 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 6.00, along with a WHIP of 1.55.
The Cubs offense has slashed .272/.361/.461 on its way to 6.1 runs scored per game in 2019, including 5.8 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).
Chicago’s hitters have been paced by shortstop Javier Baez and right fielder Jason Heyward. Baez is slashing .262/.297/.525 with four home runs, 12 RBIs and nine runs scored, while Heyward (.375/.460/.700) has produced four homers, 10 RBIs and 12 runs scored.
The Cubs have lost 6.4 units and are 3-7 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in seven of those games, as opposed to three that’ve gone under against righties. On the other hand, the Marlins have lost 2.5 units and are 4-6 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in four of those games, compared to five that’ve gone under.
Cubs vs. Marlins Free MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Cubs, ATS Winner – Cubs, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- Chicago has tallied 16 extra-base hits over its last five games. Miami has nine XBH over its last five.
- The Cubs have hit 17 home runs in their last 10 games. The Marlins have hit nine over their last 10.
- The Cubs have a total OPS of .822 this season and an OPS of .852 against right-handed pitchers. The Marlins’ OPS sits at .631 overall and .594 versus righties.
- Chicago has posted 23 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 20 over its last five.
