The St. Louis Cardinals will play host to the Chicago Cubs at Busch Stadium. The game gets underway 7:15 p.m. ET and NBC Sports Chicago will showcase the action.
Chicago Cubs at St. Louis Cardinals Odds
Chicago (+110) is entering this game as the underdog against St. Louis (-120) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this night game at 8.5 runs (-110 for the under and -110 for the over). Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the odds coming in at Cubs +1.5 runs (-190) and Cardinals -1.5 runs (+165).
The Cubs are 57-50 SU and have gone 50-56 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 5.5 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 5.0 units ATS. Chicago is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. The Cardinals, on the other hand, are 57-50 SU and 54-52 ATS. The team’s lost 3.1 units for bettors taking the moneyline while gaining 0.5 units ATS. St. Louis has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven.
Cardinals games have an over/under record of 44-54-8 in 2019. The Cubs have an over/under record of 50-50-6.
The left-handed Jon Lester is the probable starter for Chicago. Lester (9-6, 3.63 ERA) has recorded 110 strikeouts in 114 innings so far. He’s 1-0 with six strikeouts and a 6.00 ERA against St. Louis this year.
The Cardinals will turn to righty Jack Flaherty (4-6, 4.17 ERA), who has 131 strikeouts and 38 walks, along with a WHIP of 1.20. Flaherty is 0-1 with 17 strikeouts and a 5.65 ERA across three starts against Chicago this year.
St. Louis’ pitchers have given up 4.3 runs per game overall this year as a unit. Its starters have an ERA of 4.26, a WHIP of 1.38 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.9. The bullpen has a 3.80 ERA, 1.17 WHIP and 10.1 K/9. In 45 games against NL Central opponents, Cardinals starters have an ERA of 4.52 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.38.
The St. Louis hitters are putting up 4.5 runs per contest, including 4.8 per game against divisional foes and 2.2 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .237/.283/.379 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that span.
The Cardinals’ offense has been led by first baseman Paul Goldschmidt and shortstop Paul DeJong. Goldschmidt is hitting .260/.341/.478 with 25 home runs, 58 RBIs and 66 runs scored, while DeJong is hitting .247 with 18 homers, 50 RBIs and 68 runs.
In the other dugout, Chicago’s pitching staff allowed 4.3 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.87 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 8.59 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.17, along with a WHIP of 1.26 and a K-per-9 of 8.62.
Cubs hitters have slashed .251/.333/.447 on their way to 5.0 runs scored per game this season, including 4.9 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).
Shortstop Javier Baez and third baseman Kris Bryant continue to lead Chicago’s hitters. Baez is slashing .285/.318/.540 with 25 home runs, 69 RBIs and 73 runs scored, while Bryant (.291/.394/.539) has produced 21 homers, 51 RBIs and 80 runs scored.
The Cubs have gained 0.5 units and are 42-42 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 41 of those games, compared to 39 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Cardinals have lost 5.5 units and are 8-13 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 10 of those games, as opposed to nine which went under the total.
Cubs vs. Cardinals Free MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Cardinals, ATS Winner – Cubs, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- The under has hit in four of Chicago’s last seven games.
- The Cubs have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games. The Cardinals have hit 18 over their last 10.
- The Cubs have a team OPS of .781 this season and an OPS of .800 when facing right-handed pitchers. The Cardinals’ OPS stands at .726 overall and .733 against righties.
- Chicago has recorded 18.6 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 16.2 over its last five.
