Chicago Cubs at San Diego Padres Betting Preview

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The San Diego Padres are prepared to battle against the Chicago Cubs at PETCO Park. WGN is in line to televise this NL showdown and the action gets going at 10:10 p.m. ET.

Chicago Cubs vs. San Diego Padres Odds

Oddsmakers have listed San Diego (+120) as the underdog to Chicago (-130). Bettors can wager on the game’s total with odds sitting at +105 for over 8.5 runs and -125 for under 8.5. The game’s runline odds sit at +115 for betting the Cubs -1.5 runs and -135 for the Padres +1.5.

The Cubs are 76-66 SU and have gone 67-74 against the spread (ATS). The team hasn’t moved the needle very much this year, losing 3.2 units for moneyline bettors and 6.0 units ATS. Chicago is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone under in six of those seven. The Padres, on the other hand, are 66-76 SU and 67-74 ATS. The team has lost 15.3 units for moneyline bettors and 14.2 units ATS. San Diego has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has cashed in five of those seven.

Padres games have an over/under record of 67-66-8 in 2019. The Cubs have been a decent under bet with a total record of 62-68-11.

The right-handed Kyle Hendricks is projected to start for the visiting Cubs. Hendricks (9-9, 3.39 ERA) has racked up 132 punchouts in 154 innings so far. He’s 0-1 with five strikeouts and a 2.57 ERA against San Diego this year.

The Padres will turn to Cal Quantrill (6-6, 4.57 ERA), who’s got 75 strikeouts and 23 walks, in addition to a WHIP of 1.22. Quantrill is 1-0 with six strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA against Chicago this year.

As a unit, San Diego’s pitching staff has given up 4.8 runs per game overall this season. Its starters have a 4.49 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 8.5 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.55 ERA, 1.33 WHIP and 9.9 K/9.

San Diego’s hitters are putting up 4.3 runs per outing, including 3.6 per game over its last 10 games and 1.8 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .179/.289/.256 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that span.

The Padres’ hitters have been led by first baseman Eric Hosmer and third baseman Manny Machado. Hosmer is hitting .281/.328/.446 with 20 home runs, 92 RBIs and 67 runs scored, while Machado is batting .260 with 29 homers, 78 RBIs and 76 runs.

In the visiting dugout, Chicago’s pitching staff allowed 4.4 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.08 ERA, 1.28 WHIP and 8.81 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.04, along with a K-per-9 of 8.92.

Cubs hitters have slashed .250/.332/.448 on their way to 4.9 runs scored per game this year, including 4.0 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).

Chicago’s hitters have been paced by shortstop Javier Baez and third baseman Kris Bryant, who have combined to belt 55 home runs. Baez is slashing .281/.316/.532 with 29 home runs, 85 RBIs and 88 runs scored, while Bryant is hitting .279/.379/.510 with 26 homers, 64 RBIs and 97 runs scored.

The Padres have lost 6.5 units and are 52-59 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in 55 of those games, compared to 49 that’ve gone under.

Cubs at Padres Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Cubs, ATS Winner – Cubs, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • Chicago has recorded 20 extra-base hits over its last five games. San Diego has six XBH over its last five.
  • The Cubs have hit 14 home runs in their last 10 games, including nine over their last five.
  • San Diego has posted 19.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 13.0 over its last five.