The Milwaukee Brewers will do battle against the Chicago Cubs at Miller Park. NBC Sports Chicago will televise the action and the opening pitch is scheduled for 2:10 p.m. ET.
Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewers Odds
For anyone looking to play the moneyline, each team is receiving matching odds (-105) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this one at 9 runs (-105 for the over and -115 for the under). The game’s most recent runline odds stand at +140 for picking the Cubs -1.5 runs and -160 for the Brewers +1.5 runs.
The Cubs have gone 76-65 SU this year and are 67-73 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 2.0 units for moneyline bettors and 5.0 units ATS. Chicago has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven. The Brewers, on the other hand, are 73-68 SU and 62-78 ATS. They’ve lost 6.7 units for moneyline bettors and 22.8 units ATS. Milwaukee has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the under has hit in five of those seven.
Milwaukee games have had an over/under record of 60-75-5 in 2019. Chicago has an over/under record of 62-67-11.
Jon Lester is getting the start for Chicago. The left-handed Lester is 12-9 with a 4.19 ERA and 147 strikeouts. He’s 1-0 with 11 strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA against Milwaukee this year (two starts).
The Brewers are turning to righty Adrian Houser (6-5, 3.45 ERA), who has 93 strikeouts and 32 walks, along with a 1.29 WHIP. Houser is 1-1 with eight strikeouts and a 5.59 ERA in one start against Chicago this year.
As a unit, Milwaukee’s pitching staff has given up 4.9 runs per game overall this season. Its starters have an ERA of 4.62, a WHIP of 1.38 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.4. The bullpen has a 4.59 ERA, 1.34 WHIP and 9.9 K/9. In 66 games against divisional foes, Brewers starters have an ERA of 4.93 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.85.
The Milwaukee hitters have produced 4.7 runs per outing, including 4.6 per game against divisional foes and 4.2 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .226/.326/.411 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that span.
The Brewers’ batters have been led by outfielders Christian Yelich and Lorenzo Cain. Yelich is hitting .329/.426/.675 with 44 home runs, 97 RBIs, 98 runs and 30 stolen bases, and Cain is batting .252 with eight homers, 41 RBIs, 67 runs and 16 stolen bases.
In the other dugout, Chicago’s pitchers have allowed 4.3 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.01 ERA, 1.28 WHIP and 8.79 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.07, along with a WHIP of 1.28.
Cubs hitters have slashed .250/.332/.449 on their way to 4.9 runs scored per game this season, including 4.7 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).
Chicago’s offensive production has been fueled by shortstop Javier Baez and third baseman Kris Bryant, who collectively have belted 55 home runs. Baez is hitting .281/.316/.532 with 29 home runs, 85 RBIs and 88 runs scored, while Bryant (.279/.379/.510) is up to 26 homers, 64 RBIs and 97 runs scored.
The Cubs have gained 5.3 units and are 55-55 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in 50 of those games, compared to 51 that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Brewers have lost 5.0 units and are 18-27 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 14 of those games, as opposed to 28 that’ve cashed the under.
Cubs at Brewers Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Brewers, ATS Winner – Brewers, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- The over has hit in just one of Chicago’s last seven games.
- The Cubs have hit 16 home runs in their last 10 games. The Brewers have hit 12 over their last 10.
- The Cubs have an OPS of .781 this season and an OPS of .799 against right-handed pitchers. The Brewers’ OPS stands at .770 overall and .776 versus righties.
- Milwaukee has posted 18.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 19.4 over its last five.
