The Chicago Bulls (13-23) will travel to the American Airlines Center to square off with the Dallas Mavericks (22-13). The game starts at 8:30 p.m. ET on Monday, January 6, 2020, and will air on NBC Sports Chicago.
Chicago Bulls at Dallas Mavericks ATS Odds
In their last game, the Mavericks (11.5-point favorites) were defeated by the Charlotte Hornets, 123-120, while the Bulls (1-point favorites) fell to the Boston Celtics, 111-104. Both games finished over their projected point totals. The Dallas game finished 25.5 points over the projected point total of 217.5, while the Chicago game went 7 points over the projected point total of 208.
Chicago did a terrific job of getting to and converting from the charity stripe (23-31; 74.2 percent) while Dallas forced Charlotte into a turnover percentage of 14.7 (above the 10.8 mark opponents have averaged against Dallas this season). Luka Doncic had a great outing for Dallas, accumulating 39 points, 12 rebounds and 10 assists on his way to his ninth triple-double this year. Meanwhile, Zach LaVine played a pivotal role for Chicago with 35 points.
The Mavericks dominated this series last year, winning both games. In the most recent matchup, Dallas won 103-98. Dallas had a better effective field goal percentage (0.532 vs. 0.438). Chicago, on the other hand, had a better turnover percentage (14.7 vs. 17.2). This is the first time these teams will meet this year.
Just over half of the Bulls’ games have finished under the total. Chicago heads into the contest with records of 13-23 straight up (SU) and 18-18 against the spread (ATS).
Games involving the Mavericks have typically finished over the projected point total (62.9 percent). Additionally, Dallas owns records of 22-13 SU and 20-15 ATS.
Based on historical performance heading into this one, ball security could play a significant role in this battle. Dallas commits the second-fewest miscues in the league (turnover percentage of 12.2 percent), while the disruptive defense of Chicago forces the most (opponents’ turnover percentage of 17.3 percent).
Chicago Bulls at Dallas Mavericks Betting Pick
Prediction: SU Winner – Mavericks, ATS Winner – Mavericks, O/U – Over
Betting Notes:
- The Mavericks rank 13th in assists per game (24.5) while the Bulls rank 17th in assists allowed per game (24.0).
- Chicago ranks first in steals per game (10.0) while Dallas ranks 26th (6.6).
- The Mavericks rank fourth in rebounds per game (47.8) while the Bulls rank 28th in rebounds allowed per game (47.3).
- Chicago ranks 10th in fast-break points per game (14.5) while Dallas ranks 28th in fast-break points allowed per game (16.1).
- Chicago ranks eighth in three pointers attempted per game (35.4) while Dallas ranks 17th in three pointers allowed per game (33.9).
- The Mavericks rank first in blocks allowed per game (3.8) while the Bulls rank 26th (6.5).
- The Mavericks rank third in second chance points per game (14.8) while the Bulls rank 13th (13.3).
- Chicago ranks first in points off turnovers per game (21.4) while Dallas ranks 25th (15.7).
- In games where they allow less than 100 points, Dallas is 5-0 and Chicago is 4-2.
- The Bulls are 13-12 when they score above 100 points, while the Mavericks are 22-11.
- Dallas is 7-11 ATS at home, while Chicago is 9-7 ATS on the road.
- The Bulls have 8 overs and 8 unders in 16 road games.
- The Mavericks have 11 overs and 7 unders in 18 home games.
Bettings Trends:
- The Mavericks are 2-3 ATS over their last five games, while the Bulls are 1-4.
- In their last five games, Dallas has 3 overs and 2 unders, while Chicago has 3 unders and 2 overs.
- During their last five games, the Mavericks have scored an average of 116.0 points per game (0.6 below their season average) and allowed an average of 113.8 points per game (4.5 above their season average).
- The Bulls’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 1.0, down from 1.3 for the season.
