The Chicago Bears (+5) will clash with their NFC North foe Green Bay Packers (-5) at Lambeau Field. Kickoff for this key game is scheduled for 1:00 p.m. ET and fans can catch the action by tuning in to FOX.
Week 15 Betting Preview: Green Bay Packers vs. Chicago Bears
This Sunday NFC matchup shows the Bears as the dogs and they’re currently being given 5 points. The Bears are also receiving +160 moneyline odds while the Packers are -180. Oddsmakers have set the over/under (O/U) at 41 points. There could be some good live betting opportunities for the contest.
This game’s total has not moved after being set initially at 41. Having said that, the opening line was -7 so early action has slanted in favor of the Bears.
The Bears have lost 2.1 units so far in 2019 and are 4-9 against the spread (ATS). They’ve been a good under bet and have posted an O/U record of 5-8.
The Packers have been a pleasant surprise for moneyline bettors this season, gaining 6.3 units. They’re 8-5 ATS and have an O/U record of 6-7.
The Bears have gone 7-6 straight up (SU), including 3-1 SU against NFC North opponents. The Packers are 10-3 SU overall and 3-0 SU versus divisional foes.
The Bears are coming off a 31-24 victory over Dallas in Week 14. Mitchell Trubisky completed 23-of-31 passes for 244 yards, three scores and one interception. David Montgomery (86 yards on 20 rush attempts) and the signal-caller Trubisky (63 yards on 10 carries, one TD) led the ground attack in the win. Tarik Cohen (six receptions, 24 yards) and Allen Robinson II (five catches, 48 yards, two TDs) handled the receiving duties.
Green Bay just earned a 20-15 win over Washington in Week 14. The Packers defense let the Redskins rush for 121 yards on 28 attempts, along with one rushing TD. Adrian Peterson had a productive outing in the loss, recording 76 rushing yards and a score on 20 attempts for Washington. For Green Bay, Aaron Rodgers completed 18-of-28 passes for 195 yards and one touchdown. Aaron Jones carved up the opposing defense in the win. Along with 134 rushing yards on 16 attempts (and one TD), Jones also reeled in six catches for 58 yards.
When looking at offensive play-calling, each of these teams has a similar run-pass ratio on the season. Chicago’s run the ball on 40.6 percent of its offensive possessions while Green Bay has a rush percentage of 42.2. The Bears have run for 84.8 yards/game (including 71.8 per game against North opponents) and have seven touchdowns via handoffs this year. The Packers are putting up 107 rush yards per game (120.3 in conference) and have 14 total rushing TDs.
If 2019 numbers can translate to this game, then it’s looking like the Packers could own the advantage in the trenches, as their offensive line has allowed only 31 sacks while the D-line has registered 32 sacks. The Bears O-line has allowed 35 sacks and their defense has logged only 30 sacks.
The Bears offense has logged 221.2 yards per contest through the air overall (235.8 per game versus conference opposition) and has 19 passing TDs so far. The Packers have recorded 251.9 pass yards per game (232 in the NFC) and have 23 total pass scores.
Defensively, Chicago should have the upper hand in both phases. The team has let opponents run for an average of 96.3 yards and pass for 247.4 yards per game. The Green Bay defense has given up 263 yards per game to opposing passers and 122.8 yards per game to opposing runners. The Bears are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 5.67 to opposing QBs, while the Packers have given up a 6.31 ANY/A.
Rodgers has connected on 263-of-408 passes for 3,017 yards, 19 TDs and two INTs for Green Bay. His adjusted net yards per pass attempt stands at 6.97 for the year and 7.85 over his last two games. In the other huddle, Trubisky is up to 2,102 passing yards this season, and has connected on 224-of-354 attempts with 13 passing touchdowns and seven interceptions. Trubisky’s got a 4.95 ANY/A for the year, although that number is 8.22 over the past two outings.
Chicago Bears at Green Bay Packers Free NFL Tip
SU Winner: Bears, ATS Winner: Bears, O/U: Under
Team Betting Trends
- The O/U for Chicago’s last game was set at 41.5. The over cashed in the team’s 31-24 win over Dallas.
- Chicago has rushed for 3.7 yards per attempt across its last three contests and 4.2 over its last two.
- Green Bay has averaged 4.5 yards per carry over its last three outings and 4.7 over its past two.
- The Green Bay offense has lost seven fumbles this season while Chicago has lost five.
- In its last three matches, Chicago is 1-2 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
- The O/U for Green Bay’s last matchup going into it was 41.5. The under cashed in the team’s 20-15 win over Washington.
- In its last three matches, Green Bay is 1-2 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
- The Bears offense has tallied two pass plays of 40+ yards, while the Packers have put up 10 such plays.
- The Chicago defense has allowed five pass plays of 40+ yards, while Green Bay has given up 12 such plays.
- Both teams have produced five rushing plays of 20 or more yards. The Chicago offense has recorded 20 running plays of 10+ yards while Green Bay has accounted for 37 such plays.
- Both teams have allowed six rushing plays of 20 or more yards. The Bears have given up 27 running plays of 10+ yards while the Packers have given up 32 such plays.
- The Green Bay D has sacked opposing QBs 32 times this year. Chicago has recorded 30 sacks.
