Brooklyn Nets vs. Indiana Pacers ATS Prediction

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The Indiana Pacers (1-1) will be 9-point favorites at home in Bankers Life Fieldhouse when they challenge the Brooklyn Nets (1-1). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 211 points and it will air on YES Network at 7 p.m. ET on Saturday, October 20, 2018.

Brooklyn Nets at Indiana Pacers Betting Odds

Neither team was able to cover in their last matchup. The Nets (6-point favorites) defeated the New York Knicks, 107-105, while the Pacers (7.5-point underdogs) were defeated by the Milwaukee Bucks, 118-101. The Brooklyn game went 1 point under the projected point total of 213, while the Indiana game went 14.5 points over the projected point total of 204.5.

Brooklyn played a nearly flawless game. They had a phenomenal offensive rebounding percentage of 33.3 and a free throw rate of 0.280. New York put up marks of 21.8 and 0.186, respectively, for those same stats. Indiana, on the other hand, did a great job of getting and making free throws (19-27; 70.4 percent). Victor Oladipo played a key role for Indiana with 25 points and five rebounds. Meanwhile, Brooklyn was lifted by Caris LeVert, who finished with 28 points, six rebounds and five assists.

Brooklyn could struggle to create turnovers. Dating back to the 2017-18 season, Indiana ranks ninth in the NBA at avoiding errors (turnover percentage of 13.2 percent), while Brooklyn has forced the fewest turnovers (11.8 percent). Contrasting styles will be on display in this meeting. The fast-paced Nets rank fifth in possessions per game, while the slower-paced Pacers rank 27th.

The Nets are 29-55 straight up (SU) and 41-40-2 against the spread (ATS) since last season. Games featuring Brooklyn have had a slight tendency to finish over the projected point total since last season (49.4 percent).

The Pacers, meanwhile, are 49-35 SU and 42-43-2 ATS since last season. Just over half of Indiana’s games have finished over the projected point total over that same stretch.

The Pacers dominated this series last year, winning all four games. In the last matchup, Indiana won 108-103. The Pacers’ turnover percentage was their biggest advantage over the Nets. Indiana had a rate of 7.3, while Brooklyn posted a mark of 12.1.

Brooklyn Nets vs. Indiana Pacers Pick

Free Pick: SU Winner – Pacers, ATS Winner – Nets, O/U – Over

Betting Notes (2017-Present):

  • The Nets rank 16th in blocks per game (4.8) while the Pacers rank 26th (4.1).
  • Indiana ranks second in points off turnovers per game (18.4) while Brooklyn ranks last (14.1).
  • The Pacers rank eighth in rebounds allowed per game (42.6) while the Nets rank 28th (46.6).
  • Indiana ranks 10th in points allowed in the paint per game (43.8) while Brooklyn ranks 25th (47.5).
  • Indiana ranks 15th in second chance points allowed per game (12.4) while Brooklyn ranks 27th (13.5).
  • The Pacers rank second in steals per game (8.6) while the Nets rank 29th (6.2).
  • The Pacers rank fifth in fast break points per game (14.9) while the Nets rank 20th (10.6).
  • Brooklyn ranks fifth in assists allowed per game (21.6) while Indiana ranks 12th (22.7).
  • Brooklyn ranks second in three pointers attempted per game (35.5) while Indiana ranks 26th (24.7).
  • In games where they allow under 100 points, Brooklyn is 13-1 and Indiana is 30-5.
  • When scoring over 100 points, the Nets are 25-36 and the Pacers are 41-19.