Brooklyn Nets vs. Boston Celtics ATS Prediction 01/07/19

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The Brooklyn Nets (20-21), 10.5-point underdogs, will be at TD Garden to square off with the Boston Celtics (23-15) in an Atlantic Division matchup. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 218.5 points and it gets underway at 7:30 p.m. ET on Monday, January 7, 2019.

Brooklyn Nets vs. Boston Celtics ATS Odds

Both teams covered in their last game. The Celtics (4-point favorites) defeated the Dallas Mavericks 114-93, while the Nets (4-point underdog) beat the Chicago Bulls 117-100. The Boston game finished 6 points under the projected point total of 213, while the Brooklyn game went 14 points over the projected point total of 203.

Brooklyn dominated nearly every stat category in the game. They had a free throw rate of 0.205 (matching their season average) and an effective field goal percentage of 0.602 (above their season average of 0.524). For those same stats, Chicago was 0.125 and 0.506, respectively. Meanwhile, Boston played a nearly perfect game. They had an offensive rebounding percentage of 26.9 (above their season average of 22.4) and an effective field goal percentage of 0.547 (above their season average of 0.530). For those same stats, Dallas was 22.0 and 0.449, respectively. Boston’s Gordon Hayward had a good game, finishing with 16 points, 11 rebounds and eight assists. Meanwhile, D’Angelo Russell played a key role for Brooklyn with 28 points and five assists.

The Celtics dominated this series last year, taking all four contests. In the last contest, Boston won 110-97. Boston won the rebounding battle. The Celtics had more offensive rebounds (20 vs. 10), defensive rebounds (42 vs. 34) and total rebounds (62 vs. 44). This will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams.

Games including the Nets have a slight tendency to go over the total (50.0 percent). Brooklyn comes into the game with records of 20-21 straight up (SU) and 21-19 against the spread (ATS).

Vegas tends to set the total low when the Celtics are involved, as 63.2 percent of their games have ended over the O/U total. Moreover, Boston is 23-15 SU and 20-18 ATS.

DeMarre Carroll has really been playing well recently for Brooklyn, averaging 17 points,5.6 rebounds over the last five games.

Boston could put on a ball-control clinic in this contest. Boston ranks fifth in the league at avoiding errors (turnover percentage of 12.7 percent), while Brooklyn forces the fifth-fewest turnovers (12.6 percent).

Brooklyn Nets vs. Boston Celtics Pick

NBA Prediction: SU Winner – Celtics, ATS Winner – Celtics, O/U – Over

Betting Notes:

  • The Nets average 44.9 rebounds per game, which ranks 15th in the league. The Celtics rank 19th in rebounds allowed per game (45.5).
  • Boston ranks fourth in points off turnovers per game (19.0) while Brooklyn ranks 27th (14.7).
  • The Nets rank first in three pointers allowed per game (26.8) while the Celtics rank 21st (32.5).
  • Boston ranks fifth in points allowed in the paint per game (44.7) while Brooklyn ranks 22nd (51.2).
  • Boston ranks 10th in blocks per game (5.3) while Brooklyn ranks 25th (4.0).
  • The Celtics rank seventh in fast break points per game (16.0) while the Nets rank last (9.1).
  • The Celtics rank eighth in second chance points allowed per game (12.4) while the Nets rank 25th (14.5).
  • Boston allows the fourth-fewest assists per game (22.3) while Brooklyn ranks fifth (22.5).
  • Boston ranks seventh in steals per game (8.8) while Brooklyn ranks 27th (6.6).
  • Boston is 8-2 when they allow less than 100 points, while Brooklyn is 5-1.
  • When scoring more than 100 points, the Nets are 19-16 and the Celtics are 23-12.
  • Brooklyn is 11-8 ATS on the road, while Boston is 12-6 ATS at home.
  • In 19 road games, the Nets have 11 unders, 7 overs and 1 push.
  • In 18 home games, the Celtics have 11 overs and 7 unders.

Bettings Trends:

  • In their last five games, Brooklyn and Boston are both 3-2 ATS with 4 overs and 1 under.
  • During their last five games, the Nets have scored an average of 110.8 points per game (0.3 below their season average) and allowed an average of 110.0 points per game (1.4 below their season average).
  • The Celtics’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 4.0, down from 6.2 for the season.