Brooklyn Nets at Toronto Raptors ATS Prediction 12/14/19

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The Brooklyn Nets (13-11), 7.5-point underdogs, will be at Scotiabank Arena to take on the Toronto Raptors (16-8) in an Atlantic Division matchup. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 219.5 points and it will air on NBATV at 7:30 p.m. ET on Saturday, December 14, 2019.

Brooklyn Nets vs. Toronto Raptors ATS Odds

Both teams fell in their last game. The Nets (9.5-point favorites) were defeated by the Charlotte Hornets, 113-108, while the Raptors (2.5-point underdogs) fell to the Los Angeles Clippers, 112-92. The Brooklyn game went 4.5 points over the projected point total of 216.5, while the Toronto game finished 19 points under the projected point total of 223.

Brooklyn had an offensive rebounding percentage of 34.7 (above their season average of 24.1) while Toronto had an offensive rebounding percentage of 28.3 (above their season average of 21.2). Toronto rallied around Pascal Siakam, who finished with 24 points. Meanwhile, Jarrett Allen had a good outing for Brooklyn, contributing 21 points and 10 rebounds.

The Raptors held the advantage in this series last year, taking three out of four contests. In the most recent matchup, Toronto won 115-105. Toronto had a much better turnover percentage (5.9 vs. 12.8). Brooklyn, meanwhile, had a better free throw rate (0.151 vs. 0.114). This will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams.

Vegas has typically been fairly accurate when predicting totals of Nets games, with 11 overs compared to 11 unders. Brooklyn heads into the game with records of 13-11 straight up (SU) and 13-10-1 against the spread (ATS).

It’s tough to find a trend for games featuring the Raptors in regards to the O/U total, as there has been an even split between games finishing over and under. Moreover, Toronto is 16-8 SU and 13-11 ATS.

Toronto appears to have the advantage on the defensive side of the ball. The Raptors rank first in effective field goal percentage allowed (0.486), while Brooklyn is 15th in effective field goal percentage (0.524). Moreover, the Nets are among the NBA’s best on the offensive backboards, ranking fourth in offensive rebounding percentage (24.6 percent). The Raptors, meanwhile, rank 29th in defensive rebounding percentage (74.0 percent).

Brooklyn Nets at Toronto Raptors Odds Pick

Prediction: SU Winner – Raptors, ATS Winner – Nets, O/U – Under

Betting Notes:

  • The Raptors rank first in fast break points per game (18.6) while the Nets rank 16th (12.5).
  • Brooklyn ranks sixth in three pointers attempted per game (37.3) while Toronto ranks 29th in three pointers allowed per game (38.8).
  • The Raptors rank fifth in steals per game (8.5) while the Nets rank 23rd (7.0).
  • Brooklyn averages 14.3 second chance points per game, which ranks sixth in the league. Toronto ranks 24th in second chance points allowed per game (14.1).
  • Brooklyn ranks fourth in points in the paint per game (51.6) while Toronto ranks 19th (46.7).
  • The Nets rank fifth in rebounds per game (47.4) while the Raptors rank 28th in rebounds allowed per game (48.6).
  • The Raptors average 20.0 points off turnovers per game, which ranks third in the league. The Nets rank 19th in points off turnovers allowed per game (17.7).
  • Brooklyn averages 5.0 blocks per game, which ranks 15th in the NBA. Toronto ranks 26th in blocks allowed per game (5.8).
  • Brooklyn ranks third in assists allowed per game (21.9) while Toronto ranks 23rd (25.5).
  • Brooklyn is 2-0 when they hold opponents under 100 points, while Toronto is 8-1.
  • The Nets are 13-9 when they score above 100 points, while the Raptors are 14-6.
  • Toronto is 8-4 ATS at home, while Brooklyn is 6-5-1 ATS on the road.
  • The total has gone over in 6 of the Nets’ 12 road games, while 8 of the Raptors’ 12 home games have gone over.

Bettings Trends:

  • The Nets are 4-1 ATS over their last five games, while the Raptors are 0-5.
  • In their last five games, Brooklyn has 2 overs, 2 unders and 1 push, while Toronto has 4 unders and 1 over.
  • The Nets have outscored opponents by an average of 2.8 points in their last five games. On the season, Brooklyn has lost by an average of 0.5 points.
  • During their last five games, the Raptors have scored an average of 101.6 points per game (9.2 below their season average) and allowed an average of 110.8 points per game (5.3 above their season average).