The Denver Nuggets (5-5) will be at home in Pepsi Center when they meet the Brooklyn Nets (3-6). Denver is a 10.5-point favorite on the opening line while the Over/Under (O/U) for the game opened at 233 points. Tip-off is scheduled for at 9 p.m. ET on Tuesday, November 7, 2017, and it can be seen on YES Network.
Brooklyn Nets at Denver Nuggets ATS Preview
The Nets lost to the Los Angeles Lakers, 124-112, in their last game. With 25 points on 6-for-12 shooting, Allen Crabbe led Brooklyn in scoring. Los Angeles had an effective field goal percentage of 0.559 (above their season average of 0.506). Brooklyn, meanwhile, did a terrific job of getting and making free throws (29-38; 76.3 percent).
The Nuggets are hoping for a better outcome after their 127-108 loss to the Golden State Warriors in their last contest. Will Barton was Denver’s high scorer with 21 points on 7-for-13 shooting. Golden State made 18 of their 40 three pointers (45.0 percent). Denver, meanwhile, did a great job of getting and making free throws (22-27; 81.5 percent).
Denver appears to have an advantage on the offensive glass in this battle. Dating back to last season, the Nuggets rank eighth in offensive rebounding percentage (27.0 percent), while Brooklyn ranks 21st in defensive rebounding percentage (76.2 percent).
Brooklyn games have gone over 66.7 percent of the time, while games including Denver have gone under 60.0 percent of the time. The Nuggets have the superior straight up (SU) record (5-5 vs. 3-6), but the Nets hold the clear advantage against the spread (ATS) (4-5 vs. 3-7).
Emmanuel Mudiay has taken his game to another level over the last five games for Denver, averaging 14.8 points and 4.0 assists per game.
These teams have already met once this season. In that game, the two teams combined to put up 227 points, just over the projected point total of 223. The Nuggets won 116-111, covering as 5.5-point underdogs. Brooklyn did an excellent job of getting and making free throws (25-31; 80.6 percent). Denver, meanwhile, had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (44.8 vs. 23.8). Spencer Dinwiddie was a standout player in the game, putting up 22 points.
Brooklyn Nets at Denver Nuggets ATS Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Nuggets, ATS Winner – Nets, O/U – Over
Betting Notes (2016-Present):
- The Nets rank 12th in points off turnovers per game (15.3) while the Nuggets rank 28th in points off turnovers allowed per game (18.3).
- Denver ranks sixth in fast break points per game (14.2) while Brooklyn ranks 19th in fast break points allowed per game (13.9).
- Denver ranks 11th in rebounds allowed per game (41.0) while Brooklyn ranks 27th (47.4).
- Brooklyn is 6-4 when they allow under 100 points, while Denver is 13-1.
- In games where they reach the century mark, the Nets are 21-41 and the Nuggets are 43-32.
- The Nuggets rank fifth in assists per game (25.1) while the Nets rank 19th (21.4).
- Denver averages 49.9 points in the paint per game, which ranks second in the league. Brooklyn ranks 27th in points allowed in the paint per game (45.6).
- The Nuggets rank second in second chance points per game (15.2) while the Nets rank 27th in second chance points allowed per game (14.4).
- The Nets average 7.4 steals per game, which ranks eighth in the league. The Nuggets rank 16th in steals allowed per game (8.3).
- Brooklyn ranks third in three pointers attempted per game (31.7) while Denver ranks 21st in three pointers allowed per game (26.8).