Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays Free Pick

Posts AdminArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Toronto Blue Jays are set to do battle against the Boston Red Sox at Rogers Centre. The first pitch is scheduled for 7:07 p.m. ET and New England Sports Network will broadcast the action.

Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays Odds

Toronto (+125) is heading into this one as an underdog against Boston (-135) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this night game at 10.5 runs (-105 for the over and -115 for the under). Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the current odds sitting at +110 for the Red Sox -1.5 runs and -130 for the Blue Jays +1.5.

The Red Sox have gone 76-70 SU this year and are 59-86 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 24.5 units for moneyline bettors and 36.1 units ATS. The Blue Jays, on the other hand, are 57-89 SU and 71-74 ATS. They’ve lost 21.3 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 8.8 units ATS.

Blue Jays games have an over/under record of 65-72-8 in 2019. The Red Sox have been a solid over bet with a total record of 80-62-3.

Jhoulys Chacin is getting the nod for Boston. The right-handed Chacin (3-10, 5.60 ERA) has racked up 84 strikeouts in 91.2 innings so far. He has yet to face the Blue Jays this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.

The Blue Jays are planning to start righty Clay Buchholz (1-4, 5.31 ERA), who has 21 strikeouts and 11 walks to his credit, along with a 1.32 WHIP. Buchholz did not register a start against the Red Sox in 2018.

Toronto’s pitchers have given up 5.0 runs per game overall in 2019 as a unit. The team’s starting pitching staff has a 5.09 ERA, 1.48 WHIP and 7.4 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.30 ERA, 1.37 WHIP and 9.1 K/9. In 60 divisional games, Blue Jays starters have an ERA of 5.14 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.54.

The Toronto offense has produced 4.4 runs per contest, including 4.8 per game against divisional foes and 3.6 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .215/.291/.386 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that span.

Randal Grichuk and Freddy Galvis have led the Blue Jays’ hitters this year. Grichuk is hitting .232/.283/.440 with 25 home runs, 66 RBIs and 65 runs scored, and Galvis is hitting .267 with 18 homers, 54 RBIs and 55 runs.

For the visiting squad, Boston’s pitching staff allowed 5.1 runs per game and its starters own a 4.95 ERA, 1.37 WHIP and 9.39 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.34, along with a K-per-9 of 10.48.

Red Sox hitters have slashed .271/.344/.473 on their way to 5.6 runs scored per game this year, including 5.4 runs per game against divisional foes and 1.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (0-5 SU).

Boston’s offensive production has been sparked by third baseman Rafael Devers and shortstop Xander Bogaerts, who have combined to swat 60 home runs. Devers is hitting .314/.364/.563 with 29 home runs, 107 RBIs and 117 runs scored, while Bogaerts is hitting .303/.380/.560 with 31 homers, 105 RBIs and 102 runs scored.

Red Sox vs. Blue Jays Free MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Red Sox, ATS Winner – Red Sox, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • Boston has recorded nine extra-base hits over its last five outings. Toronto has 14 XBH over its last five.
  • The Red Sox have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games. The Blue Jays have hit 13 over their last 10.
  • The Red Sox have a team OPS of .816 this season and an OPS of .818 against right-handed pitchers. The Blue Jays’ OPS sits at .727 overall and .721 against righties.
  • Boston has posted 15.9 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 14.2 over its last five.
  • The Red Sox have dropped six of their last seven games SU.