Boston Red Sox vs. Texas Rangers Free Pick

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The Boston Red Sox are preparing to face off against the Texas Rangers in a Wednesday night game. This AL showdown will get going at 8:05 p.m. ET and fans looking to watch it can tune in to Fox Sports Southwest.

Boston Red Sox vs. Texas Rangers Odds

Texas (receiving +135 odds) is rolling into this one as an underdog to Boston and Vegas has the Over/Under for this night game at 12 runs. The odds for betting on the game’s total now stand at -115 for the under and -105 for the over. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the current runline odds sitting at Red Sox -1.5 runs (+100) and Rangers +1.5 runs (-120).

The Rangers are 84-72 against the spread (ATS), but only 75-82 straight up (SU). They’ve gained 6.4 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 2.7 units ATS. The Red Sox have gone 82-75 SU this year and are 65-91 ATS. Overall, the club has lost 26.8 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 34.9 units ATS.

Rangers games have had an over/under record of 70-83-3 in 2019. The Red Sox have been a solid over bet with a total record of 88-65-3.

Right-hander Rick Porcello will get the start for Boston. Porcello (13-12, 5.56 ERA) has recorded 135 strikeouts in 168.1 innings so far. He’s 0-0 with six strikeouts and a 2.70 ERA against Texas this year.

The Rangers are turning to Kolby Allard (4-1, 4.25 ERA). Allard has 32 strikeouts and 18 walks, along with a WHIP of 1.51. Allard has yet to face the Red Sox this year and did not record a start against them in 2018.

As a unit, Texas’ pitching staff has allowed 5.4 runs per game overall in 2019. The club’s starting pitching staff has an ERA of 5.36, a WHIP of 1.48 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.4. The bullpen has a 4.63 ERA, 1.44 WHIP and 8.8 K/9.

The Texas offense has put up 5.0 runs per outing, including 4.6 per game over its last 10 games and 4.6 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .257/.315/.473 over its last five games and is 1-4 SU during that span.

Elvis Andrus and Shin-soo Choo have led the Rangers’ hitters this year. Andrus is slashing .274/.312/.397 with 12 home runs, 72 RBIs, 77 runs and 28 steals, while Choo’s line is .266/.368/.452 with 23 homers, 59 RBIs and 87 runs scored.

For the visitors, Boston’s pitchers have allowed 5.1 runs per game and its starters own a 4.94 ERA, 1.37 WHIP and 9.58 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.36, along with a K/9 of 10.53.

Red Sox hitters have slashed .269/.342/.466 on their way to 5.6 runs scored per game this year, including 5.3 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 6.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).

Boston’s hitters have been led by third baseman Rafael Devers and shortstop Xander Bogaerts, who’ve collectively blasted 63 home runs. Devers is slashing .309/.361/.551 with 31 home runs, 114 RBIs and 125 runs scored, while Bogaerts is slashing .306/.381/.551 with 32 homers, 112 RBIs and 107 runs scored.

The Red Sox have lost 14.7 units and are 18-33 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 29 of those games, compared to 21 that’ve hit the under against lefties. On the other hand, the Rangers have netted 6.7 units and are 55-45 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 44 of those games, compared to 55 that’ve gone under.

Red Sox vs. Rangers Free MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Red Sox, ATS Winner – Red Sox, O/U – UNDER

Betting Notes

  • The over has hit in seven of Boston’s last seven games.
  • The Red Sox have a total OPS of .808 this season and an OPS of .785 against left-handed pitchers. The Rangers’ OPS sits at .750 overall and .734 against southpaws.
  • Texas has posted 21.4 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 21.8 over its last five.
  • The Red Sox have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games, including seven over their last five.