The Philadelphia Phillies will do battle against the Boston Red Sox at Citizens Bank Park. This interleague matchup will begin at 7:05 p.m. ET and NBC Sports Philadelphia is in line to broadcast the game.
Boston Red Sox vs. Philadelphia Phillies Odds
Philadelphia (-120) is hosting this one as the favorite against Boston (+110) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this game at 9 runs. Odds for betting on the game’s total currently stand at -120 for the under and +100 for the over. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the current odds sitting at -190 for the Red Sox +1.5 runs and +165 for the Phillies -1.5.
The Red Sox have gone 77-70 SU this year and are 60-87 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 24.8 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 36.0 units ATS. Boston has covered the spread just twice over its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven. The Phillies, on the other hand, are 76-70 SU and 70-76 ATS. The team has lost 3.5 units for moneyline bettors and 6.7 units ATS. Philadelphia has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven.
Phillies games have an over/under record of 70-72-4 in 2019. Boston has been a great over bet with a total record of 81-63-3.
Eduardo Rodriguez will get the nod for the visiting Red Sox. The southpaw Rodriguez is 17-6 with a 3.73 ERA and 177 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Phillies this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.
The Phillies are putting the ball in the right hand of Aaron Nola (12-5, 3.70 ERA), who has 207 punchouts and 71 walks this season as well as a 1.24 WHIP. Nola is 1-0 with seven strikeouts and a 2.57 ERA in one start against Boston this year.
Philadelphia’s pitching staff has allowed 4.9 runs per game overall this year as a unit. The club’s starters have an ERA of 4.57, a WHIP of 1.36 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.2. The bullpen has a 4.55 ERA, 1.42 WHIP and 8.9 K/9.
The Philadelphia hitters are putting up 4.9 runs per contest, including 5.1 per game over its last 10 games and 5.6 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .251/.324/.551 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that span.
Second baseman Cesar Hernandez and shortstop Jean Segura have led the way for the Phillies’ offense this year. Hernandez is hitting .281/.336/.404 with 11 home runs, 63 RBIs and 69 runs scored, and Segura is hitting .284 with 12 homers, 56 RBIs and 77 runs.
In the other dugout, Boston’s pitching staff allowed 5.1 runs per game and its starters own a 4.94 ERA, 1.37 WHIP and 9.40 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.34, along with a K-per-9 of 10.46.
Red Sox hitters have slashed .271/.344/.472 on their way to 5.6 runs scored per game in 2019, including 3.4 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).
Third baseman Rafael Devers and shortstop Xander Bogaerts continue to lead Boston’s hitters. Devers is slashing .314/.364/.563 with 29 home runs, 107 RBIs and 117 runs scored, while Bogaerts is hitting .304/.380/.560 with 31 homers, 106 RBIs and 103 runs scored.
The Red Sox have lost 7.6 units and are 44-56 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in 55 of those games, compared to 43 that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Phillies have lost 9.6 units and are 16-23 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 18 of those games, compared to 21 that’ve gone under.
Red Sox at Phillies MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Phillies, ATS Winner – Red Sox, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- Boston has logged 12 extra-base hits over its last five outings. Philadelphia has 22 XBH over its last five.
- The Red Sox have hit 10 home runs in their last 10 games. The Phillies have hit 21 over their last 10.
- The Red Sox have an OPS of .816 this season and an OPS of .819 when facing right-handed pitchers. The Phillies’ OPS sits at .756 overall and .743 against righties.
- Boston has posted 17.0 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 18.2 over its last five.
