It’ll be a Big 12-Big 12 showdown as the No. 6 Oklahoma Sooners (-8) are big favorites as they prepare to battle the No. 8 Baylor Bears in the Big 12 Championship Game. Fans can tune in to the action on ABC and the critical afternoon game is scheduled to start at 12:00 p.m. ET.
Betting Preview: Oklahoma Sooners vs. Baylor Bears
In this Saturday Big 12 matchup, Oklahoma is projected as the favorite and is currently giving up 8 points. The Bears are also receiving +260 moneyline odds while the Sooners are -340. Vegas has determined the over/under (O/U) to be 61 points, and if one program catches a lucky break early, it will likely create a worthy in-game betting opportunity.
The opening line was originally -10 and the over/under was initially placed at 62.5, so it appears that the sharp action appears to be siding with both the Bears and the under.
Each team has rewarded gamblers this season as the Bears have recorded 8.1 units while the Sooners are up 5.0 units.
The Bears are 11-1 straight up (SU), including 8-1 SU against Big 12 opponents. The Sooners are 11-1 SU overall and are also 8-1 SU in conference play.
The Bears are coming off a resounding 61-6 victory over Kansas last week. The Bears defense allowed the Jayhawks to run for 161 yards on 35 rush attempts. On the offensive side, Charlie Brewer completed only 13 passes on 25 attempts for 182 yards, along with a score and a pick. JaMycal Hasty (92 yards on 14 rush attempts, three TDs) and Trestan Ebner (55 yards on eight carries, one TD) led the ground attack while Tyquan Thornton (four receptions, 69 yards, one TD) and Denzel Mims (four catches, 53 yards) handled the receiving duties in the win.
Oklahoma is coming off of a 34-16 win over Oklahoma State. Jalen Hurts completed 13-of-16 passes for 163 yards and one touchdown. Kennedy Brooks (160 yards on 22 rush attempts, one TD) and the signal-caller Hurts (61 yards on 16 carries, one TD) handled the running attack while CeeDee Lamb (four receptions, 36 yards) and Nick Basquine (two catches, 32 yards) led the pass-catching corps in the win.
Baylor has run the ball on 54.9 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Oklahoma has a rush percentage of 60.1 percent. The Bears have produced 186.2 rush yards/game (including 163.8 per game versus Big 12 opponents) and have 34 touchdowns on the ground this year. The Sooners are averaging 260 rush yards per game (238.6 in conference) and have 32 total rushing TDs.
The Bears offensive scheme has averaged 258.9 yards through the air overall (264 per game versus conference opposition) and has 21 passing TDs so far. The Sooners have put up 304.3 pass yards per outing (288 against Big 12 foes) and have 35 total pass scores.
Defensively, Baylor has allowed opponents to run for an average of 143.7 yards and pass for 209.1 yards per game. The Oklahoma defense has given up 195.9 yards per game to opposing passers and 140.9 yards per game to opposing runners. The Bears are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 3.84 to opposing QBs, while the Sooners have given up a 5.66 ANY/A.
Hurts has completed 194-of-264 passes for 3,202 yards, 29 TDs and five INTs. Hurts’ adjusted net yards per pass attempt sits at 12.30 for the year and 7.39 over his last two outings. In the other huddle, Brewer has put up 2,714 passing yards this year. He’s connected on 208-of-317 attempts with 19 passing touchdowns and only six interceptions. Brewer has a 7.76 ANY/A, including 7.27 over the last two outings.
These two teams met a year ago with the final result being a 66-33 victory for Oklahoma.
Baylor Bears at Oklahoma Sooners Free NCAA Betting Tip
SU Winner: Oklahoma, ATS Winner: Oklahoma, O/U: Over
Team Betting Notes
- The Baylor defense has sacked opposing QBs 40 times this season. Oklahoma has registered just 29 sacks.
- Oklahoma has lost nine fumbles in 2019 while Baylor has lost 10.
- The Bears offense has registered 10 pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Sooners have put up 16 such plays.
- Both teams have allowed two pass plays of 40+ yards. The Baylor defense has given up six pass plays of 30+ yards while Oklahoma has yielded 11 such plays.
- The Baylor offense has created 25 rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Oklahoma has created 35 such runs.
- The Bears defense has allowed 12 rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Sooners have given up 20 such runs.
- The Over/Under for Oklahoma’s last game was set at 67.5. The under cashed in the 34-16 victory over Oklahoma State.
- Over its last three contests, Oklahoma is 1-2 ATS and the under cashed in each of those three.
- Over its last three contests, Baylor is 3-0 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
- The O/U for Baylor’s last game was 48. The over cashed in the team’s 61-6 victory over Kansas.
- As a team, Baylor has averaged 5.0 yards per carry over its last three games and 5.1 over its last two.
- Oklahoma has averaged 5.5 yards per carry over its last three contests and 6.0 over its last two.
