The Jayhawks (+14) are gearing up to host the No. 11 Baylor Bears (-14) in Kansas. Kickoff for this conference matchup is scheduled for 3:30 p.m. ET and ESPN will televise the action.
Betting Preview: Kansas Jayhawks vs. Baylor Bears
In this Saturday Big 12 matchup, Baylor is tabbed as the big favorite and is currently giving up 14 points. The Bears are also receiving -735 moneyline odds while the Jayhawks are +500. If one squad can get out in front early on it would generate a solid live betting scenario. Vegas has determined the over/under (O/U) to be 53.5 points.
The game’s total has been driven down after opening at 54. The original line (14) has remained consistent.
Each team has posted a good return this season as the Bears have recorded 7.1 units and the Jayhawks are up 4.8 units.
The Bears have gone 10-1 straight up (SU), including 7-1 SU against Big 12 opponents. The Jayhawks are 3-8 SU overall and are also 1-7 SU in conference play.
These two programs faced off last year with the final result being a 26-7 win for Baylor.
The Bears hope to make it two in a row 24-10 win over Texas last week. Charlie Brewer completed 16-of-25 passes for 221 yards and one touchdown. Brewer (75 yards on 18 rush attempts, one TD) also led the running attack and was complemented by John Lovett (51 yards on nine carries, one TD). Denzel Mims (seven receptions, 125 yards, one TD) and Chris Platt (four catches, 66 yards) shared the receiving duties in the win.
Kansas just lost a 41-31 game to Iowa State. Carter Stanley completed 23-of-44 passes for 328 yards and three touchdowns. Pooka Williams Jr. (154 rushing yards on 19 attempts) led the running game while Andrew Parchment (eight receptions, 86 yards) and Stephon Robinson Jr. (five catches, 75 yards, one TD) led the pass-catching attack in the loss.
Baylor has run the ball on 54.4 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Kansas has a rush percentage of 49.3 percent. The Bears have produced 179.1 rush yards/game (including 151.3 per game against Big 12 opponents) and have 27 touchdowns on the ground this year. The Jayhawks are totaling 144.4 rushing yards per game (122.9 in conference) and have 10 total rush TDs.
It appears that the Bears should hold an edge when it comes to efficiency in the ground game, as their backfield has logged 4.9 yards per carry while the defense is allowing 3.7 YPC to opponents. The Jayhawks have rushed for 4.6 yards per carry and given up 4.8 yards per rush attempt to opponents.
The Bears offense has averaged 260.4 yards through the air overall (266.6 per game versus conference opposition) and has 20 passing scores so far. The Jayhawks have recorded 241.7 pass yards per contest (259 in the Big 12) and have 24 total pass TDs.
Defensively, Baylor seems to have the upper hand in both phases. The team has allowed opponents to rush for an average of 142.1 yards and pass for 217.3 yards per game. The Kansas D has allowed 250.1 yards per game to opposing passers and 222.2 yards per game on the ground. The Bears are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 4.25 to opponents, while the Jayhawks have given up a 7.86 ANY/A.
Offensively, Brewer is up to 2,559 passing yards this year. The signal-caller has completed 67 percent of his 288 attempts with 17 passing scores and only four interceptions. He’s got an 8.29 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 7.05 over the last two games.
On the other sideline, Carter Stanley has connected on 191-of-308 passes for 2,343 yards, 22 TDs and seven INTs. Stanley’s ANY/A sits at 7.13 for the year and 7.01 across his past two games.
Baylor Bears vs. Kansas Jayhawks Free NCAA Betting Tip
SU Winner: Baylor, ATS Winner: Baylor, O/U: Over
Betting Notes
- The Over/Under for Baylor’s last game going into it was 58. The under cashed in the team’s 24-10 win over Texas.
- Baylor has rushed for 4.0 yards per attempt over its past three outings and 4.6 over its last two.
- Kansas has averaged 3.3 yards per carry over its last three contests and 3.6 over its last two.
- The Kansas offense has lost four fumbles this season while Baylor has lost 10.
- In its last three matchups, Baylor is 3-0 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
- The O/U for Kansas’ last matchup was set at 58.5. The over cashed in the 41-31 loss to Iowa State.
- Over its last three contests, Kansas is 1-1-1 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
- Kansas has lost eight of its last nine games SU, with a three-point win over Texas Tech on October 26th representing its one victory over that stretch.
- The Bears offense has created nine pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Jayhawks have put up seven such plays.
- The Baylor defense has allowed two pass plays of 40 or more yards, while Kansas has given up 10 such plays.
- The Baylor offense has created 23 rushing plays of 20+ yards, while Kansas has created 20 such runs.
- The Bears defense has allowed 12 rushing plays of 20+ yards, while the Jayhawks have given up 18 such runs.
- The Baylor defense has 38 sacks on the year while Kansas has just 16.
