Philadelphia 76ers vs. Golden State Warriors Betting Prediction 01/31/19

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Expect a shootout when the Philadelphia 76ers (33-18), 9.5-point underdogs, take on the Golden State Warriors (36-14) at ORACLE Arena. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 240.5 points and it will air on TNT at 10:30 p.m. ET on Thursday, January 31, 2019.

Philadelphia 76ers at Golden State Warriors Betting Odds

Both teams comfortably covered as favorites in their last matchup. The Warriors (7-point favorites) defeated the Indiana Pacers 132-100, while the 76ers (7.5-point favorites) beat the Los Angeles Lakers 121-105. The Golden State game went 3 points over the projected point total of 229, while the Philadelphia game went 4.5 points under the projected point total of 230.5.

Philadelphia dominated nearly every stat category in the game. They had a free throw rate of 0.237 (matching their season average) and a turnover percentage of 10.2 (better than their season average of 13.2). For those same stats, Los Angeles recorded marks of 0.132 and 17.6, respectively. The Warriors, meanwhile, knocked down 13 of their 16 free throws (81.3 percent) and had an offensive rebounding percentage of 31.7 (above their season average of 23.2). Golden State’s Stephen Curry had a solid performance, putting up 26 points and six rebounds. Joel Embiid fueled Philadelphia with 28 points, 11 rebounds and six assists.

The Warriors dominated this series last year, winning both games. In the most recent game, Golden State won 124-116. One of Golden State’s largest advantages was their ability to convert at the free throw line. They were 17-20 (85.0 percent), while the 76ers were 12-16 (75.0 percent). This will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams.

Of the 76ers’ 51 games, 28 have finished over the projected point total. Philadelphia comes into the game with records of 33-18 straight up (SU) and 24-27 against the spread (ATS).

Of the Warriors’ 50 games, 28 have finished over the O/U total. Moreover, Golden State is 36-14 SU and 23-26-1 ATS.

Looking at effective field goal percentage, this appears to be a matchup of two heavyweights. The elite Golden State offense ranks first in the league in that metric at 0.563, while the top-notch Philadelphia defense is ranked fifth in effective field goal percentage allowed (0.508). Furthermore, the 76ers, who rank second in free throw attempt (FTA) rate (0.241), will clash against the Warriors, who rank 21st in opponents’ FTA rate (0.206).

Philadelphia 76ers vs. Golden State Warriors Odds Pick

NBA Prediction: SU Winner – Warriors, ATS Winner – 76ers, O/U – Over

Betting Notes:

  • The 76ers rank fourth in rebounds per game (47.4) while the Warriors rank seventh (46.8).
  • Philadelphia ranks eighth in three pointers allowed per game (29.7) while Golden State ranks 27th (33.5).
  • The Warriors average 16.8 points off turnovers per game, which ranks 15th in the league. The 76ers rank 26th in points off turnovers allowed per game (18.0).
  • Philadelphia ranks second in assists allowed per game (22.4) while Golden State ranks 13th (24.1).
  • Philadelphia ranks 10th in second chance points per game (13.8) while Golden State ranks 16th in second chance points allowed per game (13.4).
  • The 76ers rank ninth in fast break points per game (15.6) while the Warriors rank 27th in fast break points allowed per game (15.1).
  • The Warriors rank first in blocks per game (6.4) while the 76ers rank seventh (5.6).
  • Golden State averages 7.4 steals per game, which ranks 19th in the NBA. Philadelphia ranks 21st in steals allowed per game (8.0).
  • Philadelphia ranks 17th in points in the paint per game (47.9) while Golden State ranks last (42.1).
  • When holding opponents below 100 points, Philadelphia is 9-0 and Golden State is 6-0.
  • When scoring above 100 points, the 76ers are 33-14 and the Warriors are 36-9.
  • Philadelphia is 10-15 ATS on the road, while Golden State is 10-13-1 ATS at home.
  • The total has gone over in 13 of the 76ers’ 25 road games, while 13 of the Warriors’ 24 home games have gone under.

Bettings Trends:

  • The Warriors are 4-1 ATS over their last five games, while the 76ers are 2-3.
  • In their last five games, Golden State has 3 overs and 2 unders, while Philadelphia has 3 unders and 2 overs.
  • The Warriors’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 16.2, up from 7.3 for the season.
  • During their last five games, the 76ers have scored an average of 117.8 points per game (2.1 above their season average) and allowed an average of 112.2 points per game (0.1 above their season average).