Atlanta Hawks at Utah Jazz ATS Prediction 02/01/19

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The Atlanta Hawks (16-34) will travel to Vivint Smart Home Arena to square off with the Utah Jazz (29-23). The Hawks opened as 11.5-point underdogs. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 227 points and it can be seen on Fox Sports – Southeast at 9 p.m. ET on Friday, February 1, 2019.

Atlanta Hawks at Utah Jazz Betting Odds

Both teams lost big in their last game. The Hawks (5-point underdogs) were defeated by the Sacramento Kings, 135-113, while the Jazz (2.5-point favorites) fell to the Portland Trail Blazers, 132-105. Both games finished over their projected point totals. The Atlanta game finished 11.5 points over the projected point total of 236.5, while the Utah game went 18.5 points over the projected point total of 218.5.

Atlanta did a great job of getting to and converting from the charity stripe (21-25; 84.0 percent) while Utah did a great job of converting from the charity stripe (18-21; 85.7 percent). Rudy Gobert was a key piece for Utah with 15 points and nine rebounds. Trae Young, meanwhile had a good outing for Atlanta, putting up 23 points and eight assists.

The Hawks dominated this series last year, winning both games. In the last contest, Atlanta won 99-94. The Hawks’ turnover percentage was their largest advantage over the Jazz. Atlanta had a rate of 11.3, while Utah posted a mark of 13.8. This is the first time these teams will clash this year.

Hawks games tend to finish over the O/U total (56.0 percent). Atlanta comes into the contest with records of 16-34 straight up (SU) and 22-28 against the spread (ATS).

Vegas is exceedingly accurate when predicting totals of Jazz games, with an even split between overs and unders. Further, Utah owns records of 29-23 SU and 25-25-2 ATS.

The Hawks’ Young has been playing at a high level over his last five games, averaging 20 points,8.2 assists per game. Meanwhile, Donovan Mitchell has averaged 30 points,6.2 assists,5.2 rebounds,1.2 steals during that same time frame for the Jazz.

The physical Utah offense seems poised to dominate from the foul line. The Jazz rank fifth in the league with a free throw attempt (FTA) rate of 0.219, while Atlanta ranks 30th in FTA rate allowed (0.238). Moreover, the Hawks rank 26th in offensive efficiency (103.5), while the Jazz rank fourth in defensive efficiency (103.8).

Hawks at Jazz Pick

Prediction: SU Winner – Jazz, ATS Winner – Jazz, O/U – Over

Betting Notes:

  • The Jazz average 5.5 blocks per game, which ranks ninth in the NBA. The Hawks rank 24th in blocks allowed per game (5.4).
  • Utah ranks first in assists allowed per game (21.0) while Atlanta ranks 29th (27.3).
  • The Jazz rank ninth in steals per game (8.4) while the Hawks rank last in steals allowed per game (10.7).
  • Utah ranks first in three pointers allowed per game (27.3) while Atlanta ranks 22nd (32.8).
  • Utah ranks second in rebounds allowed per game (42.8) while Atlanta ranks 18th (45.0).
  • The Jazz rank third in fast break points allowed per game (10.9) while the Hawks rank 29th (17.7).
  • The Jazz rank 13th in points off turnovers per game (16.9) while the Hawks rank 29th in points off turnovers allowed per game (22.6).
  • Atlanta ranks sixth in points in the paint per game (52.2) while Utah ranks seventh in points allowed in the paint per game (46.9).
  • Utah ranks fourth in second chance points allowed per game (11.3) while Atlanta ranks 27th (14.5).
  • Utah is 14-3 when they allow less than 100 points, while Atlanta is 3-2.
  • The Jazz are 27-13 when they reach the century mark, while the Hawks are 15-27.
  • Atlanta is 15-14 ATS on the road, while Utah is 12-11-1 ATS at home.
  • The total has gone over in 16 of the Hawks’ 29 road games, while 13 of the Jazz’s 24 home games have gone under.

Bettings Trends:

  • In their last five games, Atlanta and Utah are both 2-3 ATS.
  • The Hawks have 4 overs and 1 under over their last five games, while the Jazz have 3 overs and 2 unders
  • During their last five games, the Hawks have scored an average of 114.2 points per game (4.0 above their season average) and allowed an average of 119.2 points per game (1.3 above their season average).
  • The Jazz have been outscored by an average of 1.6 points in their last five games. On the season, Utah has defeated opponents by an average of 3.0 points.