Los Angeles Lakers at San Antonio Spurs Betting Prediction 10/27/18

betdsiBasketball, NBA

The Los Angeles Lakers (2-3), 1.5-point underdogs, will travel to AT&T Center to meet the San Antonio Spurs (2-2). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 231 points and it begins at 8:30 p.m. ET on Saturday, October 27, 2018.

Los Angeles Lakers at San Antonio Spurs ATS Odds

In the Lakers’ last matchup, they beat the Denver Nuggets, 121-114, as 1-point underdogs. The Spurs, on the other hand, were dismantled by the Indiana Pacers, 116-96, and were unable to cover as 1.5-point underdogs. Both games went over their projected point totals. The Los Angeles game went 0.5 points over the projected point total of 234.5, while the San Antonio game finished 1.5 points over the projected point total of 210.5.

Los Angeles played a nearly flawless game. They had a turnover percentage of 11.3 (worse than their season average of 9.8) and a free throw rate of 0.207 (above their season average of 0.170). For those same stats, Denver was 15.9 and 0.174, respectively. San Antonio, meanwhile, did an excellent job of making free throws (20-21; 95.2 percent). San Antonio was led by LaMarcus Aldridge, who had 15 points and 13 rebounds. LeBron James, meanwhile led the way for Los Angeles with 28 points, 11 rebounds and 11 assists to record his zeroth triple-double this year.

Los Angeles could have a tough time creating turnovers. Dating back to last season, San Antonio ranks fourth in the league at avoiding errors (turnover percentage of 12.8 percent), while Los Angeles has forced the 20th-most turnovers (13.3 percent). Moreover, the Lakers rank 21st in offensive efficiency (105.2), while the Spurs rank fourth in defensive efficiency (104.2).

Since last season, the Lakers have had records of 37-50 straight up (SU) and 39-46-2 against the spread (ATS). Since last season, Los Angeles games have gone over the O/U total 55.2 percent of the time.

On the other hand, the Spurs, have records of 49-37 SU and 52-48-2 ATS since last season. San Antonio’s games have gone over the O/U total 57.8 percent of the time over that same stretch.

In their first matchup this season, Aldridge led the Spurs to a 143-142 win. He recorded a double-double with 37 points and 10 rebounds. San Antonio covered as a 2-point underdog and the two teams combined to score 285 points, which was well over the projected point total of 226.5. Getting to the charity stripe was one of San Antonio’s biggest strengths. They had 38 free throw attempts, while Los Angeles had 26.

Los Angeles Lakers at San Antonio Spurs ATS Pick

Free Prediction: SU Winner – Lakers, ATS Winner – Lakers, O/U – Over

Betting Notes (2017-Present):

  • The Spurs rank 16th in steals per game (7.5) while the Lakers rank 24th in steals allowed per game (8.3).
  • San Antonio ranks second in blocks allowed per game (3.9) while Los Angeles ranks 26th (5.4).
  • The Spurs rank seventh in points off turnovers allowed per game (14.9) while the Lakers rank 28th (18.1).
  • San Antonio averages 13.2 second chance points per game, which ranks ninth in the NBA. Los Angeles ranks 26th in second chance points allowed per game (13.4).
  • Los Angeles ranks second in rebounds per game (46.3) while San Antonio ranks 13th (43.9).
  • The Lakers rank second in fast break points per game (18.2) while the Spurs rank 25th (10.0).
  • The Spurs rank third in three pointers allowed per game (26.5) while the Lakers rank 17th (30.2).
  • Los Angeles averages 24.1 assists per game, which ranks seventh in the league. San Antonio ranks ninth in assists allowed per game (22.3).
  • Los Angeles ranks second in points in the paint per game (52.8) while San Antonio ranks 23rd (43.4).
  • Los Angeles is 13-5 when they hold opponents under 100 points, while San Antonio is 33-11.
  • The Lakers are 34-32 when they reach the century mark, while the Spurs are 39-16.
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