The NBA’s top shooting defense will be a 2.5-point favorite on the road at Golden 1 Center, when the Los Angeles Clippers (14-6) face off with the Sacramento Kings (10-10). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 235.5 points and it starts at 10:30 p.m. ET on Thursday, November 29, 2018.
Los Angeles Clippers at Sacramento Kings ATS Odds
The Clippers beat the Phoenix Suns in their last game, 115-99, easily covering as 4-point favorites. The Kings, on the other hand, were blown out by the Utah Jazz, 133-112, and failed to cover as 3.5-point underdogs. The Los Angeles game went 13.5 points under the projected point total of 227.5, while the Sacramento game went 26 points over the projected point total of 219.
Los Angeles played a nearly perfect game. They had a ridiculous offensive rebounding percentage of 40.0 (above their season average of 21.4) and a free throw rate of 0.279 (above their season average of 0.272). For those same stats, Phoenix was 15.6 and 0.146, respectively. Sacramento, on the other hand, did a great job of getting and making free throws (23-31; 74.2 percent). Harry Giles had a good performance for Sacramento with 10 points, eight rebounds and six assists. Danilo Gallinari, meanwhile had a good outing for Los Angeles, finishing with 28 points and 10 rebounds.
The Clippers dominated this series last year, emerging victorious in all four games. In the last contest, Los Angeles won 126-105. Los Angeles made good use of their 26 trips to the free throw line, making 22 of them (84.6 percent). Sacramento, meanwhile, was just 13-22 (59.1 percent). This will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams.
Of the Clippers’ 19 games with betting action, 12 have finished over the total. Los Angeles holds records of 14-6 straight up (SU) and 12-7 against the spread (ATS).
Games including the Kings also tend to finish over the total (65.0 percent). Additionally, Sacramento owns records of 10-10 SU and 12-8 ATS.
The Clippers’ Montrezl Harrell has been playing well over his last five games, averaging 19 points,10.2 rebounds,1.6 steals,1.6 blocks per game. Meanwhile, Marvin Bagley III has averaged 14 points,9.0 rebounds,1.2 blocks during that same time frame for the Kings.
The high-powered offense of Los Angeles (sixth in the NBA with an offensive efficiency of 110.4) will battle against the mid-tier defense of Sacramento (20th in the NBA with a defensive efficiency of 108.4). The Clippers should have the advantage on that end of the court.
Clippers vs. Kings Pick
Free Prediction: SU Winner – Clippers, ATS Winner – Clippers, O/U – Over
Betting Notes:
- The Clippers rank 12 in blocks per game (5.55) while the Kings rank 19 in blocks allowed per game (5.55).
- Sacramento ranks third in points off turnovers per game (20.4) while Los Angeles ranks 26th (14.5).
- The Clippers rank ninth in rebounds per game (47.3) while the Kings rank 29th in rebounds allowed per game (48.8).
- Sacramento ranks 12th in steals per game (8.3) while Los Angeles ranks last (5.8).
- Los Angeles averages 13.15 second chance points per game, which ranks 16 in the league. Sacramento ranks 25 in second chance points allowed per game (15.2).
- The Clippers rank eighth in three pointers allowed per game (29.7) while the Kings rank last (36.0).
- The Kings average 22 fast break points per game, which ranks 1 in the league. The Clippers rank 19 in fast break points allowed per game (14.05).
- Sacramento averages 24.7 assists per game, which ranks 8 in the league. Los Angeles ranks 9 in assists allowed per game (22.9).
- Los Angeles ranks seventh in points in the paint per game (52.3) while Sacramento ranks 27th in points allowed in the paint per game (51.9).
- Sacramento and Los Angeles are both 3-0 when they hold opponents below 100 points.
- In games where they score over 100 points, the Clippers are 14-5 and the Kings are 9-9.
- Sacramento is 6-3 ATS at home, while Los Angeles is 5-5 ATS on the road.
- Of the Clippers’ 10 road games, they have 6 overs and 4 unders.
- The Kings have 6 unders and 3 overs in 9 home games.
Bettings Trends:
- The Clippers are 4-1 ATS over their last five games, while the Kings are 3-2.
- In their last five games, Los Angeles has 4 overs and 1 under, while Sacramento has 5 overs.
- The Clippers’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 5.2, up from 5.0 for the season.
- During their last five games, the Kings have scored an average of 115.2 points per game (1.1 above their season average) and allowed an average of 121.0 points per game (4.3 above their season average).
