Boston Celtics vs. Detroit Pistons ATS Prediction 10/27/18

betdsiBasketball, NBA

The and 4-point underdog Detroit Pistons (4-0) try to stay unbeaten when they clash with the Boston Celtics (3-2) at Little Caesars Arena. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 206.5 points and it starts at 7 p.m. ET on Saturday, October 27, 2018.

Boston Celtics vs. Detroit Pistons Betting Odds

In the Celtics’ last matchup, they were victorious over the Oklahoma City Thunder, 101-95, despite being 1-point underdogs. The Pistons, meanwhile, beat the Cleveland Cavaliers,110-103, but were unable to cover as 10-point favorites. The Boston game finished 23.5 points under the projected point total of 219.5, while the Detroit game went 3.5 points under the projected point total of 216.5.

Boston dominated nearly every facet of the game. They had a solid free throw rate of 0.279 (above their season average of 0.141) and a turnover percentage of 9.9 (better than their season average of 12.1). Oklahoma City was 0.149 and 13.2, respectively, for those same stats. Meanwhile, Detroit played a nearly flawless game. They had an absurd offensive rebounding percentage of 36.1 (above their season average of 28.6) and a free throw rate of 0.218 (above their season average of 0.186). Cleveland had marks of 16.7 and 0.146, respectively, for those same stats. Detroit’s Andre Drummond had a good game, putting up 26 points and 22 rebounds. Boston, meanwhile, received a boost from Marcus Morris, who had 21 points and 10 rebounds.

Half-court execution will be at a premium when two of the league’s slowest-paced teams square off. Detroit ranks 21st in possessions per game (98.6) and Boston is 26th (97.8) dating back to last season. ,

The Celtics have had records of 58-29 straight up (SU) and 53-50-2 against the spread (ATS) since last season. Just over half of Boston games have finished under the O/U total since last season.

On the other hand, the Pistons, are 43-43 SU and 39-47 ATS since last season. Detroit’s games have gone under the O/U total 55.8 percent of the time over that same stretch.

The Celtics took this series last year, winning two out of three games. In the last contest, Boston won 110-98. Boston was lights out from beyond the arc (17-39; 43.6 percent). Detroit, on the other hand, had a better free throw rate (0.165 vs. 0.129).

Boston Celtics vs. Detroit Pistons Odds Pick

NBA Pick: SU Winner – Celtics, ATS Winner – Pistons, O/U – Under

Betting Notes (2017-Present):

  • The Celtics rank 21st in blocks per game (4.4) while the Pistons rank 27th (3.9).
  • Boston ranks fourth in assists allowed per game (21.3) while Detroit ranks 26th (25.2).
  • The Pistons rank 17th in points off turnovers per game (16.4) while the Celtics rank 25th (15.0).
  • Detroit ranks 19th in fast break points per game (10.8) while Boston ranks 27th (9.7).
  • Boston ranks third in steals allowed per game (7.0) while Detroit ranks ninth (7.3).
  • The Celtics rank eighth in three pointers allowed per game (27.8) while the Pistons rank 25th (30.7).
  • The Celtics average 44.2 rebounds per game, which ranks 10th in the NBA. The Pistons rank 18th in rebounds allowed per game (43.6).
  • Boston ranks fourth in second chance points allowed per game (11.1) while Detroit ranks sixth (11.3).
  • Detroit ranks 18th in points in the paint per game (43.9) while Boston ranks 29th (40.0).
  • When allowing less than 100 points, Detroit is 22-6 and Boston is 44-8.
  • In games where they reach the century mark, the Celtics are 54-16 and the Pistons are 39-19.
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