The Atlanta Hawks (5-17) will travel to Chesapeake Energy Arena to square off with the Oklahoma City Thunder (13-7). The Hawks opened as 13.5-point underdogs. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 225 points and it will air on Fox Sports – Southeast at 8 p.m. ET on Friday, November 30, 2018.
Atlanta Hawks at Oklahoma City Thunder ATS Odds
The last time the Thunder played, they covered the 13-point spread against the Cleveland Cavaliers, 100-83. The Hawks, meanwhile, were beat by the Charlotte Hornets, 108-94, and failed to cover as 12-point underdogs. The Oklahoma City game finished 32 points under the projected point total of 215, while the Atlanta game went 28 points under the projected point total of 230.
Oklahoma City dominated nearly every stat category in the game. They had a free throw rate of 0.140 (below their season average of 0.189) and an offensive rebounding percentage of 18.2 (below their season average of 28.6). Cleveland was 0.045 and 14.3, respectively, for those same stats. Atlanta, on the other hand, had an offensive rebounding percentage of 29.1 (above their season average of 20.7). Oklahoma City rallied around Russell Westbrook, who racked up 23 points, 19 rebounds and 15 assists. This gave him his second triple-double this season. Trae Young played a key role for Atlanta with 18 points.
The Thunder dominated this series last year, taking both games. In the last game, Oklahoma City won 119-107. The Thunder’s 6.5 turnover percentage was their largest strength over the Hawks, who had a mark of 13.3. This will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams.
Vegas has typically been fairly accurate when predicting totals of Hawks games, with 12 overs compared to 10 unders. Atlanta comes into the game with records of 5-17 straight up (SU) and 9-13 against the spread (ATS).
Of the Thunder’s 20 games, 12 have finished under the total. Further, Oklahoma City is 13-7 SU and 12-8 ATS.
From an effective field goal percentage perspective, Oklahoma City figures to have a noteworthy advantage. The Thunder defense ranks fourth in effective field goal percentage allowed (0.501), while the Atlanta offense is ranked 22nd in effective field goal percentage (0.504). It could also be a mistake-prone game for the offense of the Hawks, which ranks 30th in ball security (turnover percentage of 16.5 percent). They’ll be going up against the stingy defense of the Thunder, which forces the second-most turnovers in the NBA (16.2 percent).
Atlanta Hawks at Oklahoma City Thunder Pick
Free NBA Pick: SU Winner – Thunder, ATS Winner – Hawks, O/U – Under
Betting Notes:
- The Hawks average 6.090909090909091 blocks per game, which ranks 5 in the NBA. The Thunder rank 14 in blocks allowed per game (5).
- Oklahoma City averages 21.3 points off turnovers per game, which ranks first in the league. Atlanta ranks 29th in points off turnovers allowed per game (22.4).
- The Thunder average 48.5 rebounds per game, which ranks fourth in the league. The Hawks rank 27th in rebounds allowed per game (48.1).
- Oklahoma City averages 15.3 fast-break points per game, which ranks seventh in the league. Atlanta ranks 27th in fast-break points allowed per game (16.1).
- Oklahoma City ranks 13 in assists allowed per game (23.5) while Atlanta ranks 27 (27).
- The Thunder rank second in second chance points per game (16.9) while the Hawks rank last in second chance points allowed per game (16.7).
- The Thunder rank 6 in three pointers allowed per game (29.35) while the Hawks rank 25 (33.86363636363637).
- Atlanta ranks 12 in points in the paint per game (48.72727272727273) while Oklahoma City ranks 14 in points allowed in the paint per game (48).
- Oklahoma City averages 10.3 steals per game, which ranks first in the league. Atlanta ranks 27th in steals allowed per game (10.3).
- When allowing under 100 points, Oklahoma City is 4-0 and Atlanta is 0-2.
- The Hawks are 5-11 when they score above 100 points, while the Thunder are 11-3.
- Atlanta is 6-6 ATS on the road, while Oklahoma City is 6-5 ATS at home.
- The total has gone over in 6 of the Hawks’ 12 road games, while 6 of the Thunder’s 11 home games have gone over.
Bettings Trends:
- In their last five games, Atlanta and Oklahoma City are both 2-3 ATS.
- The Hawks have 3 overs and 2 unders over their last five games, while the Thunder have 4 unders and 1 over
- During their last five games, the Hawks have scored an average of 107.4 points per game (0.0 above their season average) and allowed an average of 116.4 points per game (1.4 below their season average).
- The Thunder’s average margin of victory in their last five games has been 7.8, up from 6.0 for the season.
