The Baltimore Orioles will head south to SunTrust Park to take on the Atlanta Braves. The game gets underway 7:35 p.m. ET and Mid-Atlantic Sports Network will be televising this interleague showdown.
Baltimore Orioles at Atlanta Braves Odds
Baltimore (+182) is hosting this one as the underdog against Atlanta (-195) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this one at nine runs. The odds for betting on the game’s total sit at +100 for the over and -120 for the under. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the most recent runline odds sitting at Orioles +1.5 runs (-120) and Braves -1.5 runs (+100).
The Orioles have gone just 21-52 SU this year and are 26-46 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 29.2 units for moneyline bettors and 25.4 units ATS. Baltimore’s covered the spread just twice over its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Braves, on the other hand, are 43-30 SU and 41-31 ATS. They’ve gained 17.7 units for moneyline bettors and 9.6 units ATS. Atlanta has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven.
Braves games have a 34-35-3 over/under record so far in 2018. The Orioles have been a decent under bet with a total record of 29-41-2.
The right-handed Alex Cobb is projected to start for the visiting Orioles. Cobb (2-9, 7.14 ERA) has recorded 43 strikeouts in 62 innings so far. He has yet to face the Braves this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.
The Braves are handing the ball to lefty Sean Newcomb (8-2, 2.70 ERA), who has 81 strikeouts and 36 walks to his name, as well as a 1.18 WHIP. Newcomb did not record a start against the Orioles in 2017.
Baltimore’s pitching staff allowed 5.1 runs per game and its starters own a 5.29 ERA, 1.51 WHIP and 7.75 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.21, along with a WHIP of 1.51.
Orioles hitters have slashed .227/.294/.379 on their way to 3.6 runs scored per game this season, including 3.4 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).
Shortstop Manny Machado and right fielder Adam Jones have led Baltimore’s hitters. Machado is hitting .304/.369/.554 with 18 home runs, 53 RBIs and 33 runs scored. Jones (.292/.316/.454) has produced 10 homers, 31 RBIs and 29 runs scored.
For the home team, Atlanta’s pitchers have allowed 3.9 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starters have an ERA of 3.34, a WHIP of 1.25 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.6. The bullpen has a 3.95 ERA, 1.33 WHIP and 9.3 K/9.
The Atlanta hitters have produced 4.9 runs per outing, including 4.4 per game over its last 10 games and 4.6 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .233/.275/.442 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.
First baseman Freddie Freeman and right fielder Nick Markakis have led the Braves’ offense this year. Freeman is slashing .332/.420/.579 with 15 home runs, 49 RBIs, 47 runs and six steals, and Markakis has put up a line of .323/.387/.479 with eight homers, 44 RBIs and 44 runs.
The Orioles have lost 7.3 units and are 10-16 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 10 of those games, compared to 15 that’ve hit the under against lefties. On the other hand, the Braves have netted 13.9 units and are 29-18 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in 19 of those games, compared to 25 that went under the total.
Baltimore Orioles at Atlanta Braves MLB Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Braves, ATS Winner – Orioles, O/U – UNDER
Betting Notes,
- Baltimore has tallied 22 extra-base hits over its last five outings. Atlanta has 20 XBH over its last five.
- Atlanta has recorded 21.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 20.6 over its last five.
- The Orioles have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games, including nine over their last five.
