The Baltimore Orioles will head south to play their AL East nemesis Tampa Bay Rays at Tropicana Field. The game gets underway 1:10 p.m. ET and Mid-Atlantic Sports Network will be airing the action.
Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays Odds
The Rays are 80-58 straight up (SU) and 69-68 against the spread (ATS). The team hasn’t strayed too far from expectations, losing 3.2 units for moneyline bettors and 7.8 units ATS. Tampa Bay has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven. The Orioles are 45-91 SU and have gone 58-77 against the spread. Overall, the club has lost 13.4 units for moneyline bettors and 23.0 units ATS. Baltimore has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven.
Rays games have had an over/under record of 65-65-7 in 2019. Orioles games have gone over 69 times, gone under 57 times and pushed on nine instances.
Asher Wojciechowski will get the nod for the visiting Orioles. The right-handed Wojciechowski (2-7, 5.12 ERA) has recorded 61 strikeouts in 58 innings so far. He’s 0-1 with 10 strikeouts and a 4.91 ERA against Tampa Bay this year (two starts).
The Rays are turning to lefty Ryan Yarbrough (11-3, 3.36 ERA), who’s got 98 punchouts and 14 walks, in addition to a WHIP of 0.87. Yarbrough is 1-0 with 14 strikeouts and a 1.98 ERA in one start against Baltimore this year.
Tampa Bay’s pitchers have given up 4.1 runs per game overall this season as a unit. The club’s starters have an ERA of 3.49, a WHIP of 1.12 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 10.3. The bullpen has a 3.87 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 9.3 K/9. In 60 games against divisional opponents, Rays starters have an ERA of 3.46 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.74.
Tampa Bay’s offense has put up 4.7 runs per contest, including 4.7 per game against divisional foes and 7.2 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .309/.360/.543 over its last five games and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.
The Rays’ batters have been led by Tommy Pham and Austin Meadows. Pham is slashing .274/.374/.463 with 20 home runs, 58 RBIs, 65 runs and 17 stolen bases, and the line for Meadows stands at .276/.343/.526 with 24 homers, 70 RBIs and 60 runs scored.
For the visiting squad, Baltimore’s pitching staff allowed 6.2 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 5.66 ERA, 1.42 WHIP and 7.20 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 6.13, along with a K/9 of 8.55.
The Orioles offense has slashed .246/.311/.413 on its way to 4.4 runs scored per game this year, including 4.1 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).
Baltimore’s offense has been powered by Jonathan Villar and Hanser Alberto. Villar is slashing .278/.347/.462 with 20 home runs, 62 RBIs, 93 runs and 33 stolen bases, while Alberto is hitting .323/.344/.448 with 10 homers, 46 RBIs and 51 runs scored.
The Orioles have gained 1.5 units and are 23-27 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has hit in 25 of those games, compared to 21 that’ve gone under against left-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Rays have lost 2.8 units and are 41-46 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 43 of those games, compared to 39 which went under the total.
Orioles vs. Rays Free Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Rays, ATS Winner – Orioles, O/U – UNDER
Betting Notes
- The over has cashed in four of Baltimore’s last seven games.
- The Orioles have an OPS of .724 this season, including an OPS of .741 when facing left-handed pitchers. The Rays’ OPS stands at .759 overall and .747 against lefties.
- The Orioles have lost three of their last four games SU.
- Baltimore has recorded 24.1 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 25.0 over its last five.
- The Orioles have hit 16 home runs in their last 10 games. The Rays have hit 15 over their last 10.
