Jonathan Villar and the slumping Baltimore Orioles will be taking the field against their AL East foe Boston Red Sox at Fenway Park in a Sunday showdown. Mid-Atlantic Sports Network is in line to televise the matchup. The first pitch is scheduled for 1:05 p.m. ET.
Baltimore Orioles at Boston Red Sox Odds
Sportsbooks have Boston (-305) as the favorite over Baltimore (+255). The total currently stands at 12 runs and bettors can play the over for -105 and the under for -115. There’s a runline of Orioles +1.5 (+125) and Red Sox -1.5 (-145) for this matchup.
The Red Sox are 66-59 straight up (SU) and 52-72 against the spread (ATS). The team has lost 23.5 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 26.6 units ATS. Boston has a 3-4 ATS record over its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven. On the other hand, the Orioles are 39-84 SU and have gone 52-70 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 14.8 units for moneyline gamblers and 23.3 units ATS. Baltimore’s covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the over has cashed in six of those seven.
Red Sox games have a 73-48-3 over/under record in 2019. The Orioles have also been a decent over bet with a total record of 64-49-9.
Ty Blach is getting the nod for Baltimore. The left-handed Blach is 0-1 with a 13.94 ERA and seven strikeouts. He has yet to face the Red Sox this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.
The Red Sox are putting the ball in the hands of righty Nathan Eovaldi (1-0, 5.77 ERA), who’s got 34 punchouts and 15 walks as well as a 1.54 WHIP. Eovaldi made two starts against the team in 2018, posting a 1-0 record in 2018, posting a 1-0 record with a 5.87 ERA.
Baltimore’s pitchers have allowed 6.4 runs per game and its starters own a 5.82 ERA, 1.43 WHIP and 7.19 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 6.29, along with a K-per-9 of 8.48.
The Orioles offense has slashed .244/.307/.408 on its way to 4.3 runs scored per game this year, including 4.0 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (0-5 SU).
Second baseman Jonathan Villar and right fielder Trey Mancini continue to lead Baltimore’s hitters. Villar is slashing .271/.340/.438 with 15 home runs, 54 RBIs, 80 runs and 26 stolen bases, while Mancini has a .277 average with 29 homers, 71 RBIs and 80 runs scored.
In the other dugout, Boston’s pitching staff has given up 5.1 runs per game overall in 2019. Its starters have an ERA of 5.01, a WHIP of 1.36 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.4. The bullpen has a 4.33 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and 10.5 K/9. In 61 divisional games, Red Sox starters have an ERA of 5.22 and the bullpen’s ERA is 5.11.
The Boston hitters are putting up 5.7 runs per outing, including 5.5 per game against divisional foes and 6.0 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .335/.399/.631 over its last five matchups and is 4-1 SU during that span.
Third baseman Rafael Devers and shortstop Xander Bogaerts have led the Red Sox batters this year. Devers is slashing .327/.376/.584 with 26 home runs, 97 RBIs and 101 runs scored, while Bogaerts has produced a line of .308/.384/.561 with 27 homers, 92 RBIs and 94 runs.
The Orioles have lost 12.1 units and are 33-45 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 40 of those games, compared to 33 that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Red Sox have lost 13.0 units and are 15-23 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 23 of those games, compared to 14 that’ve cashed the under.
Orioles at Red Sox Free MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Red Sox, ATS Winner – Orioles, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- Baltimore has logged 14 extra-base hits over its last five games. Boston has 31 XBH over its last five.
- The Orioles have lost 11 of their last 12 games SU.
- Baltimore has posted 19.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 17.4 over its last five.
- The Orioles have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games. The Red Sox have hit 18 over their last 10.
- The Orioles have a total OPS of .716 this season and an OPS of .712 against right-handed pitchers. The Red Sox’ OPS sits at .828 overall and .829 against righties.
