The Baltimore Orioles will be taking on their AL East foe New York Yankees at Yankee Stadium. Mid-Atlantic Sports Network will be televising the matchup and the game gets going at 1:05 p.m. ET.
Baltimore Orioles at New York Yankees Odds
Baltimore (-105) is coming into this one as the underdog against New York (-115) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this afternoon game at 9 runs. Odds for betting on the games total stand at -115 for the over and -105 for the under. Bettors can also wager on the games spread with the most recent runline odds standing at Orioles +1.5 runs (+210) and Yankees -1.5 runs (-230).
The Yankees are 4-4 SU and 4-3 ATS. The team has lost 0.3 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 0.8 units against the spread (ATS). The Orioles are 3-5 SU and have gone 2-5 ATS. In total, the teams lost 2.0 units for gamblers taking the moneyline this year and 3.7 units ATS.
New York games have a 3-4 over/under record thus far in 2018. The Orioles have an over/under record of 1-6.
The Orioles have lost 1.1 units and are 1-5 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in one of those games, compared to five that’ve gone under against righty starters. On the other hand, the Yankees have lost 2.3 units and are 2-3 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has hit in two of those games, compared to three that’ve gone under.
The right-handed Chris Tillman (0-1, 9.00 ERA) will get the nod for Baltimore. Tillman started 19 games last year and finished the season 1-7 overall with a 7.84 ERA and a 1.89 WHIP. He made two starts against New York in 2017 and compiled a 0-2 record against the Yankees with a 19.29 ERA and three strikeouts.
The Bronx Bombers are rolling with righty Sonny Gray (0-0, 2.25 ERA) as their starter. Gray struck out 153 hitters in 162 innings last year with 57 walks. Gray finished the season 10-12 overall with a 3.55 ERA and a 1.21 WHIP. He made two starts against Baltimore a year ago and registered a 1-1 record with a 4.66 ERA and nine strikeouts.
As a unit, New York’s pitchers have given up 4.1 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starters have a 2.49 ERA, 1.06 WHIP and 10.0 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 5.40 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 13.1 K/9. In eight games against AL East opponents, Yankees starters have an ERA of 2.49 and the bullpens ERA is 5.40.
The New York offense has produced 5.0 runs per contest, including 5.4 per game over its last five. The teams hit .195/.310/.368 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.
The Yankees batters have been led by shortstop Didi Gregorius and outfielder Aaron Judge. Gregorius is hitting .393/.514/.964 with 11 hits, 10 RBIs and eight runs scored, while Judge’s line is .276/.432/.517 with eight hits, five RBIs and six runs scored.
Compared to his total season slash line of .284/.422/.627, Judge enjoyed batting against righty pitching at home last season, producing .318/.424/.771 across 257 plate appearances.
In the visiting dugout, Baltimore’s pitching staff allowed 4.9 runs per game and its starters own a 4.50 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and 8.36 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.24, along with a K-per-9 of 9.53.
The Orioles offense has yet to get it going, hitting just .195/.276/.345 on its way to 3.3 runs scored per game in 2018, including over the teams last five contests (2-3 SU).
Shortstop Manny Machado and right fielder Adam Jones have led Baltimore’s offense. Machado is slashing .313/.421/.531 with 10 hits, two RBIs and four runs scored, while Jones (.257/.297/.543) is up to nine hits, three homers, seven RBIs and three runs scored.
Compared to his overall season slash line of .260/.311/.473, Machado didn’t do as well hitting against righties on the road last season, maintaining a slash line of .227/.264/.387 across 254 such plate appearances.
Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Yankees, ATS Winner – Orioles, O/U – UNDER
Betting Notes
- The Orioles went 7-12 SU against the Yankees last season.
- The Orioles bullpen posted 6.38 ERA against the Yankees last year.
