The Baltimore Orioles are set to face the Chicago White Sox at Guaranteed Rate Field. The opening pitch is scheduled for 8:10 p.m. ET and NBC Sports Chicago will be airing this AL matchup.
Baltimore Orioles at Chicago White Sox Odds
Oddsmakers have listed Chicago (+115) as the underdog to Baltimore (-125). The total is sitting at 9 runs and gamblers can take the over for +105 and the under for -125. You can also bet on the games spread with the most recent runline odds standing at +120 for the Orioles -1.5 runs and -140 for the White Sox +1.5 runs.
The White Sox are just 13-31 SU and 22-21 ATS. They’ve lost 14.8 units for moneyline bettors and 2.5 units against the spread (ATS). Chicago has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in six of those seven. On the other hand, the Orioles are 15-32 SU and have gone 18-28 ATS. Overall, the teams lost 17.2 units for moneyline bettors in the seasons early going and 11.4 units ATS. Baltimore is 3-5 ATS over its last seven games and the under has cashed in four of those seven.
Neither team has been an obvious over/under bet this season. Chicago games have a 20-21-2 over/under record so far in 2018. The Orioles have an over/under record of 21-23-2.
Kevin Gausman is getting the nod for the visiting Orioles. The right-handed Gausman is 3-3 with a 3.88 ERA and 48 strikeouts. He has yet to face the White Sox this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.
The White Sox are putting the ball in the right hand of James Shields (1-4, 4.88 ERA), who has 36 punchouts and 25 walks this season as well as a 1.30 WHIP. Shields did not record a start against the Orioles in 2017.
Baltimore’s pitchers have allowed 5.4 runs per game and its starters own a 5.58 ERA, 1.58 WHIP and 7.66 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.23, along with a K/9 of 8.21.
Orioles hitters have slashed .233/.297/.400 on their way to 4.0 runs scored per game in 2018, including 5.1 runs per game over the teams last 10 games and 3.0 per game over the teams last five outings (2-3 SU).
Baltimore’s offense has been led by shortstop Manny Machado and left fielder Trey Mancini, who collectively have swatted 21 home runs. Machado is slashing .343/.420/.663 with 15 home runs, 43 RBIs and 27 runs scored, while Mancini is hitting .253 with six homers, 16 RBIs and 26 runs scored.
Machado did not do as well batting against righties on the road last year. Across 254 such plate appearances, he put up a slash line of .227/.264/.387 (compared to his overall season line of .260/.311/.473).
In the other dugout, Chicago’s pitching staff has allowed 5.5 runs per game overall this year. The clubs starting pitching staff has an ERA of 5.73, a WHIP of 1.48 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 6.1. The bullpen has a 4.34 ERA, 1.50 WHIP and 9.5 K/9.
The Chicago hitters are putting up 3.8 runs per outing, including 3.2 per game over its last 10 games and 3.8 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .259/.328/.380 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.
Outfielder Trayce Thompson and first baseman Jose Abreu have led the White Sox batters this year. Thompson is slashing .117/.145/.300 with seven hits, three RBIs and nine runs scored, while Abreu’s line is .304/.372/.530 with eight homers, 26 RBIs and 24 runs.
The Orioles have lost 12.4 units and are 11-18 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in 12 of those games, compared to 16 that’ve hit the under against righties. On the other hand, the White Sox have lost 9.8 units and are 17-15 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The overs hit in 13 of those games, as opposed to 17 that’ve cashed the under.
Baltimore Orioles vs. Chicago White Sox MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Orioles, ATS Winner – Orioles, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- Baltimore has posted 21.7 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 18.6 over its last five.
- The Orioles have hit 19 home runs in their last 10 games. The White Sox have hit six over their last 10.
