The Boston Red Sox are playing host to their division rival Baltimore Orioles at Fenway Park. The first pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET and New England Sports Network will broadcast the matchup.
Baltimore Orioles at Boston Red Sox Odds
Oddsmakers are listing Baltimore (+185) as the underdog to Boston (-200). The total sits at 9.5 runs and bettors can wager on the over for -125 and the under for +105. You can also wager on the game’s spread with the current runline odds sitting at Orioles +1.5 runs (-120) and Red Sox +-1.5 runs (+100).
The Orioles are 5-8 SU and have gone 6-7 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 1.0 unit for gamblers taking the moneyline this year and 1.1 units ATS. Baltimore has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the under has hit in three of those seven. The Red Sox are 10-2 SU and 4-7 ATS. The team has gained 6.3 units for moneyline bettors while gaining 3.0 units ATS. Boston has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven.
Boston games have an over/under record of 6-5 so far in 2018. The Orioles have an over/under record of 4-8-1.
The Orioles have gained 1.1 units and are 3-1 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in two of those games, compared to one that’ve hit the under against righty starters. On the other hand, the Red Sox have netted 5.3 units and are 4-6 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in six of those games, compared to four that’ve gone under.
The right-handed Chris Tillman (0-2, 8.68 ERA) will get the start for the visiting Orioles. Tillman started 19 games last year while finishing the season 1-7 overall with a 7.84 ERA and a 1.89 WHIP.
The Red Sox will be turning to lefty Eduardo Rodriguez (0-0, 7.36 ERA), who struck out 150 hitters over 137 innings last year (24 starts), while finishing the season 6-7 overall with a 4.19 ERA and a 1.28 WHIP. He recorded three starts against the Orioles a year ago and registered a 1-2 record with a 5.89 ERA and 20 strikeouts.
As a unit, Boston’s pitching staff has given up 3.3 runs per game overall this year. Its starters have an ERA of 2.01, a WHIP of 1.01 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.1. The bullpen has a 4.60 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and 9.8 K/9. In 10 divisional games, Red Sox starters have an ERA of 2.09 and the bullpen’s ERA is 5.25.
Boston’s offense is putting up 5.8 runs per contest, including 5.8 per game against divisional foes and 9.0 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .288/.376/.500 over its last five contests and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.
The Red Sox batters have been led by right fielder Mookie Betts and shortstop Xander Bogaerts. Betts is slashing .370/.455/.630 with 17 hits, nine RBIs and 14 runs scored, while Bogaerts is batting .368 with 14 hits, nine RBIs and seven runs.
In the visiting dugout, Baltimore’s pitching staff allowed 5.1 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.37 ERA, 1.43 WHIP and 8.74 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.42, along with a K/9 of 8.35.
Orioles hitters have slashed .216/.293/.349 on their way to 3.4 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.3 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).
Manny Machado and Pedro Alvarez have led Baltimore’s hitters. Machado is slashing .321/.419/.547 with 17 hits, six RBIs and six runs scored, while Alvarez (.263/.462/.526) is up to five hits, five RBIs and four runs scored.
Machado did not do especially well on the road last year, putting up a slash line of .229/.268/.398 across 336 plate appearances (his total season line was .260/.311/.473).
Baltimore Orioles at Boston Red Sox MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Red Sox, ATS Winner – Orioles, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- The Orioles have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games. The Red Sox have hit nine over their last 10.
- Baltimore has recorded 21.9 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 21.6 over its last five.
- The Red Sox have won 10 of their last 11 games SU.
