The Baltimore Orioles will be taking on their divisional rival Toronto Blue Jays in a Wednesday night game. The matchup will begin at 7:07 p.m. ET and Mid-Atlantic Sports Network will showcase the game.
Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays Odds
Baltimore (+155) is coming into this one as the underdog against Toronto (-165) and Vegas has the Over/Under for this game at 10 runs (-115 for the over and -105 for the under). The game’s runline odds stand at -140 for betting the Orioles +1.5 runs and +120 for the Blue Jays -1.5 runs.
The Blue Jays are 64-94 straight up (SU) and 78-79 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 14.7 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 6.3 units ATS. The Orioles have gone 52-106 SU this year and are 66-91 against the spread. Overall, the club has lost 22.3 units for moneyline gamblers and 31.6 units ATS.
Toronto games have an over/under record of 73-75-9 in 2019. Baltimore has been a decent over bet with a total record of 80-65-12.
The right-handed Gabriel Ynoa will get the nod for the visiting Orioles. Ynoa is 1-9 with a 5.65 ERA and 62 strikeouts. He’s 0-2 with four strikeouts and a 4.40 ERA against Toronto this year (two starts).
The Blue Jays are countering with Jacob Waguespack (4-5, 4.75 ERA). Waguespack has 58 strikeouts and 27 walks, along with a 1.36 WHIP. Waguespack hasn’t faced the Orioles yet this year and did not record any MLB pitching stats last season.
Toronto’s pitching staff has given up 5.2 runs per game overall in 2019 as a unit. The club’s starters have a 5.36 ERA, 1.50 WHIP and 7.5 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.35 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and 9.0 K/9. In 72 games against divisional foes, Blue Jays starters have an ERA of 5.76 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.61.
The Toronto offense has produced 4.5 runs per outing, including 5.0 per game against divisional foes and 4.8 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .219/.291/.433 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that span.
Right fielder Randal Grichuk and third baseman Vladimir Guerrero Jr. have paced the Blue Jays’ batters this year. Grichuk is slashing .235/.284/.461 with 31 home runs, 79 RBIs and 74 runs scored, and Guerrero Jr.’s line is .274/.342/.439 with 15 homers, 69 RBIs and 52 runs.
In the visiting dugout, Baltimore’s pitchers have allowed 6.1 runs per game and its starters own a 5.63 ERA, 1.42 WHIP and 7.03 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 5.85, along with a WHIP of 1.42 and a K-per-9 of 8.61.
The Orioles offense has slashed .247/.311/.415 on its way to 4.5 runs scored per game in 2019, including 4.3 runs per game against divisional foes and 6.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).
Outfielder Trey Mancini and second baseman Jonathan Villar continue to lead Baltimore’s offense. Mancini is hitting .293/.363/.537 with 34 home runs, 94 RBIs and 103 runs scored, while Villar (.274/.340/.457) is up to 24 homers, 71 RBIs, 109 runs and 38 steals.
The Orioles have lost 14.8 units and are 41-56 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 49 of those games, compared to 40 that’ve hit the under against righty starters. On the other hand, the Blue Jays have lost 15.1 units and are 53-52 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 51 of those games, as opposed to 47 which went under the total.
Orioles at Blue Jays MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Blue Jays, ATS Winner – Orioles, O/U – UNDER
Betting Notes
- The under has cashed in only two of Toronto’s last seven games.
- The Orioles have a team OPS of .727 this season and an OPS of .719 against right-handed pitchers. The Blue Jays’ OPS stands at .733 overall and .728 against righties.
- Toronto has posted 25.0 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 21.2 over its last five.
- Both teams have hit 19 home runs over their last 10 games.
