Jonathan Villar and the Baltimore Orioles are paying a visit to Toronto to face a divisional opponent in the Blue Jays at Rogers Centre. Mid-Atlantic Sports Network will showcase the action. The opening pitch is scheduled for 7:07 p.m. ET.
Baltimore Orioles at Toronto Blue Jays Odds
Toronto (-140) is the favorite against Baltimore (+130) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this night game at 10 runs. The odds for betting on the game’s total sit at -120 for the over and +100 for the under. There’s a runline of Orioles +1.5 (-170) and Blue Jays -1.5 (+150) for this matchup.
The Blue Jays are 78-77 against the spread (ATS)despite being only 63-93 straight up (SU). They’ve lost 14.7 units for moneyline bettors and 4.3 units ATS. Toronto has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total went over in four of those seven. The Orioles have gone 51-105 SU this year and are 65-90 ATS. Overall, the club has lost 22.3 units for moneyline bettors and 31.6 units ATS. Baltimore is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven.
Toronto games have a 71-75-9 over/under record in 2019. Orioles games have gone over 79 times, gone under 64 times and pushed on 12 occasions.
Right-hander Chandler Shepherd will get the nod for the visiting Orioles. Shepherd (0-0, 4.91 ERA) has racked up nine strikeouts in 11 innings so far. He’s 0-0 with four strikeouts and a 6.75 ERA against Toronto this year.
The Blue Jays are putting the ball in the right hand of Clay Buchholz (1-5, 6.48 ERA, 1.48 WHIP), who has 29 punchouts and 12 walks. Buchholz is 0-0 with four strikeouts and a 17.18 ERA in one start against Baltimore this year.
Baltimore’s pitching staff allowed 6.1 runs per game and its starters own a 5.61 ERA, 1.42 WHIP and 7.03 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 5.89, along with a WHIP of 1.42 and a K-per-9 of 8.66.
Orioles hitters have slashed .246/.310/.412 on their way to 4.4 runs scored per game in 2019, including 4.1 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.4 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).
Baltimore’s hitters have been paced by second baseman Jonathan Villar and outfielder Trey Mancini, who have combined to belt 57 home runs. Villar is hitting .274/.341/.456 with 23 home runs, 69 RBIs, 106 runs and 38 stolen bases. Mancini (.286/.356/.532) is up to 34 homers, 93 RBIs and 101 runs scored.
In the other dugout, Toronto’s pitchers have allowed 5.1 runs per game overall this season. Its starters have an ERA of 5.28, a WHIP of 1.49 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.5. The bullpen has a 4.31 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and 9.0 K/9. In 70 games against divisional opponents, Blue Jays starters have an ERA of 5.58 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.54.
The Toronto offense is putting up 4.4 runs per outing, including 4.9 per game against divisional foes and 5.6 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .263/.333/.469 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.
Right fielder Randal Grichuk and third baseman Vladimir Guerrero Jr. have led the Blue Jays’ batters this year. Grichuk is hitting .235/.283/.459 with 30 home runs, 76 RBIs and 72 runs scored, and Guerrero Jr.’s line is .276/.345/.444 with 15 homers, 68 RBIs and 51 runs scored.
The Orioles have lost 13.8 units and are 40-56 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 48 of those games, compared to 40 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Blue Jays have lost 15.1 units and are 53-50 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 49 of those games, as opposed to 47 which went under the total.
Orioles at Blue Jays Free MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Blue Jays, ATS Winner – Orioles, O/U – UNDER
Betting Notes
- Baltimore has recorded 21 extra-base hits over its last five outings. Toronto has 20 XBH over its last five.
- Baltimore has posted 23.6 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 22.6 over its last five.
- The Orioles have hit 14 home runs in their last 10 games. The Blue Jays have hit 15 over their last 10.
- The Orioles have a team OPS of .722 this season and an OPS of .712 against right-handed pitchers. The Blue Jays’ OPS sits at .732 overall and .728 versus righties.
