The Baltimore Orioles will head west to Ewing M. Kauffman Stadium to play the Kansas City Royals. Fox Sports Kansas City will broadcast this AL matchup and the action gets underway at 8:15 p.m. ET.
Baltimore Orioles vs. Kansas City Royals Odds
The Orioles have gone 44-89 SU this year and are 57-76 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 13.3 units for moneyline gamblers and 23.3 units ATS. Baltimore has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has hit in five of those seven. The Royals, on the other hand, are 47-88 SU and 62-72 ATS. The team’s lost 23.8 units for moneyline bettors and 23.1 units ATS. Kansas City has a 3-4 ATS record over its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven.
Royals games have had an over/under record of 62-64-8 in 2019. The Orioles have been a decent over bet with a total record of 67-57-9.
The southpaw John Means is projected to start for the visiting Orioles. Means (9-9, 3.61 ERA) has recorded 95 strikeouts in 117.1 innings so far. He’s 0-1 with four strikeouts and a 3.60 ERA against Kansas City this year.
The Royals will put the ball in the left hand of Eric Skoglund (0-0, 3.60 ERA, 1.00 WHIP), who’s got zero punchouts and three walks this season. Skoglund hasn’t faced the Orioles yet this year and only made one start against them in 2018 (0-0, 4.26 ERA and three strikeouts across 6.1 innings).
Kansas City’s pitchers have yielded 5.3 runs per game overall this season as a unit. Its starters have a 5.18 ERA, 1.43 WHIP and 7.4 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.99 ERA, 1.54 WHIP and 8.6 K/9.
Kansas City’s hitters are putting up 4.2 runs per outing, including 3.8 per game over its last 10 games and 5.6 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .275/.345/.444 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that span.
Second baseman Whit Merrifield and outfielder Alex Gordon have led the Royals’ batters this year. Merrifield is slashing .303/.353/.473 with 15 home runs, 66 RBIs, 90 runs and 17 steals, while Gordon’s line is .259/.333/.399 with 12 homers, 64 RBIs and 68 runs scored.
For the visiting squad, Baltimore’s pitching staff allowed 6.2 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 5.70 ERA, 1.42 WHIP and 7.19 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 6.15, along with a WHIP of 1.42 and a K/9 of 8.59.
Orioles hitters have slashed .245/.309/.411 on their way to 4.4 runs scored per game this year, including 4.7 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.4 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).
Baltimore’s offensive production has been led by second baseman Jonathan Villar and outfielder Trey Mancini, who have combined to launch 49 home runs. Villar is hitting .277/.345/.462 with 20 home runs, 61 RBIs, 88 runs and 29 steals, while Mancini (.273/.347/.518) has produced 29 homers, 74 RBIs and 86 runs scored.
The Orioles have gained 0.5 units and are 22-27 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has hit in 24 of those games, compared to 21 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Royals have lost 4.2 units and are 17-18 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 15 of those games, as opposed to 16 which went under the total.
Orioles at Royals Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Royals, ATS Winner – Orioles, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- Baltimore has recorded 15 extra-base hits over its last five outings. Kansas City has 16 XBH over its last five.
- The Orioles have a team OPS of .720 this season and an OPS of .734 when facing left-handed pitchers. The Royals’ OPS stands at .705 overall and .691 against southpaws.
- Baltimore has recorded 21.1 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 21.2 over its last five.
- The Orioles have hit 16 home runs in their last 10 games. The Royals have hit 10 over their last 10.
