Atlanta Hawks vs. Orlando Magic ATS Prediction 02/10/20

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The Orlando Magic (22-31), the NBA’s top scoring defense, will take on the Atlanta Hawks (15-39) at Amway Center. The game starts at 7 p.m. ET on Monday, February 10, 2020, and will air on Fox SportsNet Florida.

Atlanta Hawks at Orlando Magic ATS Odds

Neither team was able to cover in their last outing. The Hawks (12.5-point favorites) defeated the New York Knicks, 140-135, while the Magic (10.5-point underdogs) were defeated by the Milwaukee Bucks, 111-95. The Atlanta game went 50 points over the projected point total of 225, while the Orlando game finished 20.5 points under the projected point total of 226.5.

The Hawks knocked down 28 of their 31 free throws (90.3 percent) and had a turnover percentage of 10.3 (better than their season average of 14.0). Orlando, meanwhile, had a much better turnover percentage (8.0 vs. 13.8). Orlando was lifted by Nikola Vucevic, who had 21 points, 14 rebounds and six assists. Trae Young, meanwhile fueled Atlanta with 48 points and 13 assists.

In their two matchups this year, the Hawks have won both. The two teams combined to score 194 points in their most recent game, which was well under the projected point total of 209. Atlanta won 101-93, covering as an 11-point underdog. The Hawks’ offensive rebounding percentage was their largest strength over the Magic. Atlanta had a rate of 27.5, while Orlando posted a mark of 21.2. Despite the loss, Vucevic was the game’s leading scorer with 27 points.

Of the Hawks’ 53 games that accepted bets, 30 have gone over the projected point total. Atlanta comes into the game with records of 15-39 straight up (SU) and 25-28 against the spread (ATS).

Unlike Atlanta, Magic games have typically finished under the total (56.6 percent). Moreover, Orlando owns records of 22-31 SU and 22-27-4 ATS.

The Hawks’ John Collins has been playing at a high level over his last five games, averaging 24 points,12.8 rebounds per game. Meanwhile, Aaron Gordon has averaged 18 points,7.6 rebounds,1.4 steals during that same time frame for the Magic.

Conflicting styles will be on display in this contest. Atlanta has preferred an up-tempo style of play (second in possessions per game), while Orlando has been more methodical (29th in possessions per game).

Atlanta Hawks at Orlando Magic Odds Pick

Prediction: SU Winner – Magic, ATS Winner – Magic, O/U – Under

Betting Notes:

  • Orlando ranks first in points off turnovers allowed per game (14.0) while Atlanta ranks 28th (19.8).
  • The Hawks rank fourth in points in the paint per game (50.4) while the Magic rank 27th (44.3).
  • Orlando averages 8.4 steals per game, which ranks sixth in the league. Atlanta ranks 28th in steals allowed per game (9.0).
  • Orlando averages 44.5 rebounds per game, which ranks 19th in the NBA. Atlanta ranks 26th in rebounds allowed per game (46.9).
  • The Magic rank second in second chance points allowed per game (11.5) while the Hawks rank 26th (14.6).
  • The Magic rank fourth in fast break points allowed per game (11.7) while the Hawks rank 24th (14.4).
  • Orlando ranks fifth in blocks per game (5.8) while Atlanta ranks 28th in blocks allowed per game (6.3).
  • Orlando is 12-4 when they allow less than 100 points, while Atlanta is 4-0.
  • When scoring above 100 points, the Hawks are 15-32 and the Magic are 18-12.
  • Atlanta is 10-18 ATS on the road, while Orlando is 9-15-2 ATS at home.
  • The total has gone over in 17 of the Hawks’ 28 road games, while 18 of the Magic’s 26 home games have gone under.

Bettings Trends:

  • The Hawks are 3-2 ATS over their last five games, while the Magic are 1-4.
  • In their last five games, Atlanta has 3 overs and 2 unders, while Orlando has 2 overs, 2 unders and 1 push.
  • During their last five games, the Hawks have scored an average of 117.8 points per game (7.8 above their season average) and allowed an average of 122.6 points per game (4.1 above their season average).
  • The Magic’s average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 7.0, up from 1.8 for the season.