Expect a fast-paced game when the Atlanta Hawks (13-38), 5.5-point underdogs, visit Minnesota to take on the Timberwolves (15-34). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 236 points and it will air on Fox Sports – North at 8 p.m. ET on Wednesday, February 5, 2020.
Atlanta Hawks vs. Minnesota Timberwolves ATS Odds
Both teams failed to cover as underdogs in their last matchup. The Hawks (6-point underdogs) were defeated by the Boston Celtics, 123-115, while the Timberwolves (1-point underdogs) fell to the Sacramento Kings, 113-109. The Atlanta game finished 4 points over the projected point total of 234, while the Minnesota game went 5 points under the projected point total of 227.
Atlanta did a great job of making free throws (19-21; 90.5 percent) while Minnesota had an offensive rebounding percentage of 34.1 (above their season average of 22.7). Minnesota was led by Karl-Anthony Towns, who recorded 22 points, 10 rebounds and six assists. John Collins, meanwhile had a good outing for Atlanta, contributing 22 points and 11 rebounds.
In their first matchup this year, Towns led the Timberwolves to a 125-113 win. He registered a double-double with 28 points and 13 rebounds. The two teams combined to put up 238 points, which was just over the projected point total of 236.5, and Minnesota covered as a 4.5-point favorite. Getting to the charity stripe was one of Minnesota’s largest advantages. They had 36 free throw attempts, while Atlanta had 26.
Games including the Hawks have a tendency to go over the total (56.9 percent). Atlanta heads into the contest with records of 13-38 straight up (SU) and 23-28 against the spread (ATS).
Just over half of Timberwolves games have finished over the total. Moreover, Minnesota is 15-34 SU and 17-30-2 ATS.
There should be plenty of transition offense in this meeting that showcases a pair of the league’s more fast-paced teams. Minnesota currently ranks third in possessions per game (106.4) and Atlanta is fourth (106.4).
Atlanta Hawks vs. Minnesota Timberwolves Pick
Free NBA Pick: SU Winner – Timberwolves, ATS Winner – Hawks, O/U – Over
Betting Notes:
- The Timberwolves rank 23rd in points off turnovers allowed per game (17.7) while the Hawks rank 28th (19.9).
- Minnesota ranks fourth in blocks per game (6.0) while Atlanta ranks 29th in blocks allowed per game (6.3).
- The Timberwolves rank ninth in rebounds per game (46.0) while the Hawks rank 27th in rebounds allowed per game (47.0).
- Minnesota averages 48.8 points in the paint per game, which ranks 12th in the league. Atlanta ranks 29th in points allowed in the paint per game (53.5).
- Minnesota ranks third in three pointers attempted per game (39.5) while Atlanta ranks eighth (35.4).
- The Timberwolves rank third in steals per game (8.5) while the Hawks rank 27th in steals allowed per game (8.9).
- The Timberwolves rank 10th in fast break points allowed per game (12.5) while the Hawks rank 25th (14.6).
- Minnesota ranks seventh in second chance points per game (14.1) while Atlanta ranks 28th in second chance points allowed per game (14.6).
- Atlanta is 4-0 when they allow below 100 points, while Minnesota is 2-1.
- The Hawks are 13-31 when they score over 100 points, while the Timberwolves are 14-27.
- Minnesota is 5-18-1 ATS at home, while Atlanta is 8-18 ATS on the road.
- The total has gone over in 12 of the Timberwolves’ 24 home games, while 16 of the Hawks’ 26 road games have gone over.
Bettings Trends:
- The Hawks are 2-3 ATS over their last five games, while the Timberwolves are 0-5.
- In their last five games, Atlanta has 4 overs and 1 under, while Minnesota has 3 unders and 2 overs.
- The Hawks’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 3.6, down from 9.1 for the season.
- During their last five games, the Timberwolves have scored an average of 114.4 points per game (3.0 above their season average) and allowed an average of 121.6 points per game (6.3 above their season average).
