The Atlanta Hawks (20-49) and the Milwaukee Bucks (36-32) battle at BMO Harris Bradley Center. The Hawks are 10.5-point underdogs and will attempt to put an end to their five-game losing streak. The games Over/Under (O/U) opened at 215.5 points and it can be seen on Fox Sports Net Wisconsin at 6 p.m. ET on Saturday, March 17, 2018.
Atlanta Hawks vs. Milwaukee Bucks ATS Odds
Both teams lost in their last contest. The Bucks fell to the Orlando Magic, 126-117, while the Hawks were defeated by the Charlotte Hornets, 129-117.
Atlanta held Charlotte to an offensive rebounding percentage of 13.0 (below their season average of 22.2) while Milwaukee had a much better turnover percentage (9.6 vs. 14.9). Giannis Antetokounmpo played well for Milwaukee, recording 38 points, 10 rebounds and seven assists. Taurean Prince, meanwhile played a pivotal role for Atlanta with 22 points, 10 rebounds and six assists.
Milwaukee appears to have the edge on the offensive side of the ball. The Bucks currently rank eighth in offensive efficiency, while Atlanta ranks 22nd in defensive efficiency.
Of the Hawks 69 games, 35 have finished under the total. Atlanta comes into the contest with records of 20-49 straight up (SU) and 33-34-2 against the spread (ATS).
In opposition of Atlanta, just over half of Bucks games have finished over the projected point total. Moreover, Milwaukee is 36-32 SU and 28-35-5 ATS.
The Bucks have won both matchups against the Hawks this year. In their most recent game, the two teams combined for 189 points, well under the projected point total of 208. Milwaukee won 97-92 but was unable to cover as an 8-point favorite. Milwaukee had a better turnover percentage (9.5 vs. 11.2). Atlanta, on the other hand, did an excellent job of making free throws (14-20; 70.0 percent). Antetokounmpo put up a double-double in the victory with 15 points and 15 rebounds.
Atlanta Hawks vs. Milwaukee Bucks Odds Pick
Free Pick: SU Winner – Bucks, ATS Winner – Hawks, O/U – Over
Betting Notes:
- The Bucks rank 17th in assists allowed per game (23.3) while the Hawks rank last (26.0).
- Milwaukee averages 8.5 steals per game, which ranks fourth in the league. Atlanta ranks 27th in steals allowed per game (8.7).
- The Bucks rank ninth in points in the paint per game (46.0) while the Hawks rank 28th (40.7).
- Milwaukee ranks sixth in points off turnovers per game (17.8) while Atlanta ranks 25th in points off turnovers allowed per game (17.8).
- Atlanta ranks 15th in second chance points per game (12.3) while Milwaukee ranks 29th (10.3).
- The Bucks rank second in fast break points allowed per game (9.7) while the Hawks rank 24th (13.2).
- The Hawks rank 10th in three pointers attempted per game (30.4) while the Bucks rank 26th (24.5).
- Neither of these teams are great at rebounding the ball. Atlanta is 25th in the NBA with 41.2 rebounds per game while Milwaukee is last with 39.6 rebounds per game.
- Milwaukee ranks fourth in blocks allowed per game (4.3) while Atlanta ranks 24th (5.3).
- Milwaukee is 16-5 when they hold opponents under 100 points, while Atlanta is 9-4.
- When reaching the century mark, the Bucks are 30-16 and the Hawks are 18-28.
- Milwaukee is 11-21-3 ATS at home, while Atlanta is 15-15-2 ATS on the road.
- The total has gone under in 19 of the Hawks 32 road games, while 17 of the Bucks 35 home games have gone over.
Betting Trends:
- In their last five games, Atlanta and Milwaukee have both had 3 overs and 2 unders.
- The Bucks are 1-4 ATS over their last five games, while the Hawks are 0-5.
- During their last five games, the Bucks have scored an average of 109.2 points per game (4.0 above their season average) and allowed an average of 108.6 points per game (3.0 above their season average).
- The Hawks average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 14.4, up from 5.2 for the season.
