The Atlanta Hawks (4-15) and the Houston Rockets (12-6) clash at Toyota Center. The Hawks are 13.5-point underdogs and will try to put an end to their nine-game losing streak. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 238.5 points and it will air on ATTSN Southwest at 8 p.m. ET on Saturday, November 30, 2019.
Atlanta Hawks vs. Houston Rockets Betting Odds
Both teams covered in their last outing. The Rockets (7-point favorites) beat the Miami Heat, 117-108, while the Hawks (14.5-point underdogs) fell to the Indiana Pacers, 105-104. The Houston game went 1 point under the projected point total of 226, while the Atlanta game went 30.5 points under the projected point total of 239.5.
Houston dominated every stat category in the game. They had a superb free throw rate of 0.317 (above their season average of 0.251) and a turnover percentage of 13.5 (worse than their season average of 12.7). Miami had marks of 0.250 and 16.4, respectively, for those same stats. Atlanta, on the other hand, had a better offensive rebounding percentage (25.0 vs. 20.8). Houston’s James Harden had a solid performance, finishing with 34 points, six rebounds and five assists. Meanwhile, Atlanta rallied around Trae Young, who finished with 49 points and six assists.
The Rockets dominated this series last year, winning both games. In the last contest, Houston won 121-105. One of Houston’s biggest advantages was getting to the charity stripe. They made 30 trips to the line, while Atlanta went 15 times. This will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams.
Oddsmakers tend to place the total low when the Hawks are involved, as 55.6 percent of their contests have finished over the projected point total. Atlanta comes into the contest with records of 4-15 straight up (SU) and 8-10 against the spread (ATS).
Contrary to Atlanta, games featuring the Rockets have a tendency to go under the projected point total (61.1 percent). Additionally, Houston owns records of 12-6 SU and 10-8 ATS.
The high-octane offense of Houston will face off against the bottom-tier defense of Atlanta. The Rockets rank fourth in offensive efficiency, while the Hawks are 27th in defensive efficiency. The Rockets figure to have the advantage on that end of the court.
Atlanta Hawks at Houston Rockets ATS Pick
Pick: SU Winner – Rockets, ATS Winner – Hawks, O/U – Over
Betting Notes:
- The Rockets average 15.4 fast break points per game, which ranks sixth in the NBA. The Hawks rank 20th in fast break points allowed per game (13.9).
- Atlanta ranks second in points in the paint per game (53.2) while Houston ranks 25th in points allowed in the paint per game (51.1).
- The Rockets rank eighth in blocks allowed per game (4.4) while the Hawks rank 28th (7.9).
- Houston ranks seventh in second chance points per game (14.3) while Atlanta ranks 27th in second chance points allowed per game (14.6).
- Atlanta ranks ninth in rebounds allowed per game (44.5) while Houston ranks 25th (47.2).
- The Rockets rank first in three pointers attempted per game (45.4) while the Hawks rank 22nd in three pointers allowed per game (35.1).
- The Rockets rank seventh in steals per game (8.4) while the Hawks rank 26th in steals allowed per game (9.0).
- Atlanta ranks 21st in assists per game (23.2) while Houston ranks 25th (21.2).
- Houston averages 18.8 points off turnovers per game, which ranks sixth in the league. Atlanta ranks 27th in points off turnovers allowed per game (20.4).
- When holding opponents below 100 points, Atlanta is 1-0 and Houston is 2-0.
- When reaching the century mark, the Hawks are 4-12 and the Rockets are 12-5.
- Houston is 5-4 ATS at home, while Atlanta is 3-6 ATS on the road.
- Of the Hawks’ 9 road games, they have 6 overs and 3 unders.
- In 9 home games, the Rockets have 5 overs and 4 unders.
Bettings Trends:
- In their last five games, Atlanta and Houston are both 3-2 ATS.
- The Hawks have 4 overs and 1 under over their last five games, while the Rockets have 3 overs and 2 unders
- During their last five games, the Hawks have scored an average of 107.6 points per game (0.0 above their season average) and allowed an average of 117.6 points per game (0.5 above their season average).
- The Rockets’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 1.2, down from 3.5 for the season.