The Chicago Bulls (8-17) will be 5-point favorites at home in the United Center when they meet the Atlanta Hawks (6-18). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 222.5 points and it will air on NBC Sports Chicago at 8 p.m. ET on Wednesday, December 11, 2019.
Atlanta Hawks vs. Chicago Bulls ATS Odds
Both teams fell in their last contest. The Bulls (6-point underdogs) were defeated by the Toronto Raptors, 93-92, while the Hawks (1.5-point underdogs) fell to the Miami Heat, 135-121. The Chicago game went 29.5 points under the projected point total of 214.5, while the Atlanta game finished 33.5 points over the projected point total of 222.5.
Atlanta had an effective field goal percentage of 0.579 (above their season average of 0.513) while Chicago held Toronto to an effective field goal percentage of 0.417 (below their season average of 0.536). Chicago rallied around Zach LaVine, who recorded 20 points, 11 rebounds and six assists. De’Andre Hunter, meanwhile had a good game for Atlanta, contributing 28 points.
In their first matchup this year, Tomas Satoransky led the Bulls to a 113-93 victory. He was the game’s top overall scorer with 27 points. The two teams combined for 206 points, which was well under the projected point total of 221, and Chicago covered as a 1-point favorite. The Bulls’ turnover percentage was their biggest advantage over the Hawks. Chicago had a rate of 15.3, while Atlanta posted a mark of 21.2.
Vegas has a tendency to set the total low when the Hawks are playing, as 13 of their 23 games have finished over the O/U total. Atlanta heads into the game with records of 6-18 straight up (SU) and 11-12 against the spread (ATS).
Unlike Atlanta, Bulls games have a tendency to go under the O/U total (56.0 percent). Additionally, Chicago owns records of 8-17 SU and 12-13 ATS.
This has potential to be a mistake-prone game for the offense of Chicago. Chicago ranks 18th in the league in ball protection (turnover percentage of 14.4 percent), while the disruptive defense of Atlanta forces the eighth-most turnovers in the NBA (14.8 percent).
Atlanta Hawks vs. Chicago Bulls Betting Pick
Prediction: SU Winner – Bulls, ATS Winner – Bulls, O/U – Under
Betting Notes:
- The Bulls rank 10th in fast break points per game (14.1) while the Hawks rank 15th in fast break points allowed per game (13.5).
- Chicago ranks first in steals per game (9.4) while Atlanta ranks 29th in steals allowed per game (8.8).
- The Hawks rank third in points in the paint per game (53.3) while the Bulls rank 19th (46.1).
- Atlanta ranks 14th in blocks per game (5.1) while Chicago ranks 27th (3.9).
- Atlanta ranks 15th in rebounds allowed per game (45.6) while Chicago ranks 26th (48.2).
- The Bulls average 21.3 points off turnovers per game, which ranks first in the league. The Hawks rank 27th in points off turnovers allowed per game (19.7).
- The Bulls rank eighth in three pointers attempted per game (36.0) while the Hawks rank 21st in three pointers allowed per game (34.9).
- Chicago ranks ninth in second chance points per game (14.1) while Atlanta ranks 28th in second chance points allowed per game (15.3).
- Chicago is 3-1 when they allow under 100 points, while Atlanta is 2-0.
- When scoring over 100 points, the Bulls are 8-9 and the Hawks are 6-15.
- Chicago is 6-7 ATS at home, while Atlanta is 5-7 ATS on the road.
- Of the Hawks’ 12 road games, they have 8 overs and 4 unders.
- Of the Bulls’ 13 home games, they have 8 unders and 5 overs.
Bettings Trends:
- The Bulls are 4-1 ATS over their last five games, while the Hawks are 3-2.
- In their last five games, Chicago has 3 unders and 2 overs, while Atlanta has 3 overs and 2 unders.
- The Bulls have outscored opponents by an average of 1.2 points in their last five games. For the season, Chicago has lost by an average of 3.2 points.
- During their last five games, the Hawks have scored an average of 115.2 points per game (6.0 above their season average) and allowed an average of 121.8 points per game (3.8 above their season average).
