The Atlanta Hawks (13-36) will travel to the American Airlines Center to square off with the Dallas Mavericks (29-19). The Mavericks opened as 5.5-point favorites. The game can be seen on Fox Sports – Southwest at 8:30 p.m. ET on Saturday, February 1, 2020.
Atlanta Hawks at Dallas Mavericks ATS Odds
In the Hawks’ last outing, they beat the Philadelphia 76ers, 127-117, as 6-point underdogs. The Mavericks, on the other hand, were beaten by the Houston Rockets, 128-121, and failed to cover as 7-point underdogs. Both games finished over their projected point totals. The Atlanta game finished 16 points over the projected point total of 228, while the Dallas game finished 20.5 points over the projected point total of 228.5.
The Hawks held the 76ers to an offensive rebounding percentage of 17.4 (below their season average of 23.3) and had an effective field goal percentage of 0.546 (above their season average of 0.508). Dallas, on the other hand, had an offensive rebounding percentage of 31.8 (above their season average of 24.6). Kristaps Porzingis played a pivotal role for Dallas with 35 points and 12 rebounds. Trae Young, meanwhile played well for Atlanta, finishing with 39 points, 18 assists and six rebounds.
This series was highly competitive last year. Each won one of the two games played against each other last season. The Mavericks won the most recent game 114-107. One of Dallas’ biggest advantages was getting to the free throw line. They had 43 free throw attempts, while Atlanta had just 14. This will be the first contest of the year between these two teams.
Oddsmakers tend to set the total low when the Hawks are playing, as 57.1 percent of their games have gone over the projected point total. Atlanta comes into the game with records of 13-36 straight up (SU) and 23-26 against the spread (ATS).
Games involving the Mavericks also tend to go over the total (59.6 percent). Additionally, Dallas owns records of 29-19 SU and 27-20 ATS.
The high-powered offense of Dallas will battle against the porous defense of Atlanta. The Mavericks currently rank first in offensive efficiency, while the Hawks are 27th in defensive efficiency. The Mavericks figure to have the advantage on that end of the court.
Hawks at Mavericks Betting Pick
Free NBA Tip: SU Winner – Mavericks, ATS Winner – Hawks, O/U – Over
Betting Notes:
- The Hawks rank eighth in three pointers attempted per game (35.6) while the Mavericks rank 17th in three pointers allowed per game (33.8).
- Dallas ranks second in blocks allowed per game (3.9) while Atlanta ranks 27th (6.3).
- The Mavericks rank fourth in rebounds per game (47.4) while the Hawks rank 27th in rebounds allowed per game (46.9).
- Atlanta ranks fourth in points in the paint per game (50.3) while Dallas ranks 24th (45.3).
- Atlanta averages 12.1 fast break points per game, which ranks 20th in the NBA. Dallas ranks last in fast break points allowed per game (16.2).
- The Mavericks rank fourth in points off turnovers allowed per game (14.7) while the Hawks rank 29th (19.9).
- The Mavericks rank ninth in steals allowed per game (7.1) while the Hawks rank 27th (9.0).
- Dallas averages 24.1 assists per game, which ranks 14th in the NBA. Atlanta ranks 18th in assists allowed per game (24.5).
- Dallas ranks second in second chance points per game (14.9) while Atlanta ranks 27th in second chance points allowed per game (14.5).
- Dallas is 8-0 when they hold opponents below 100 points, while Atlanta is 4-0.
- The Hawks are 13-29 when they reach 100 points, while the Mavericks are 29-17.
- Dallas is 10-15 ATS at home, while Atlanta is 8-17 ATS on the road.
- The total has gone over in 16 of the Hawks’ 25 road games, while 15 of the Mavericks’ 25 home games have gone over.
Bettings Trends:
- The Hawks are 3-2 ATS over their last five games, while the Mavericks are 2-3.
- In their last five games, Atlanta has 4 overs and 1 under, while Dallas has 3 unders and 2 overs.
- The Hawks’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 1.8, down from 8.9 for the season.
- During their last five games, the Mavericks have scored an average of 114.4 points per game (1.8 below their season average) and allowed an average of 119.0 points per game (8.6 above their season average).
