The Pittsburgh Pirates will play host to the Atlanta Braves at PNC Park. The game will begin at 7:05 p.m. ET and this NL matchup will be televised on ATPT and FSSE.
Atlanta Braves at Pittsburgh Pirates Odds
Pittsburgh (+145) is entering into this one as an underdog to Atlanta (-155) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this one at 9 runs. The odds for wagering on the game’s total currently sit at -115 for the over and -105 for the under. The game’s current runline odds stand at -110 for betting the Braves -1.5 runs and -110 for the Pirates +1.5.
The Pirates are 28-30 straight up (SU) and 30-28 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 3.0 units for bettors taking the moneyline while earning 3.3 units ATS. Pittsburgh has a 3-5 ATS record over its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven. The Braves, on the other hand, are 32-27 SU and have gone 29-30 against the spread. Overall, the club has accumulated 0.9 units for moneyline bettors and 0.6 units ATS. Atlanta is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven.
Pittsburgh games have an over/under record of 33-23-2 so far in 2019. Braves games have gone over 30 times, gone under 24 times and pushed on five instances.
Left-hander Max Fried will get the nod for the visiting Braves. Fried is 7-3 with a 3.19 ERA and 56 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Pirates this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.
The Pirates will put the ball in the left hand of Steven Brault (2-1, 5.87 ERA, 1.60 WHIP), who has 26 punchouts and 18 walks. Brault did not register a start against the Braves in 2018.
As a unit, Pittsburgh’s pitching staff has allowed 5.4 runs per game overall in 2019. Its starting pitching staff has a 4.88 ERA, 1.33 WHIP and 8.1 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 5.04 ERA, 1.47 WHIP and 10.0 K/9.
The Pittsburgh hitters are putting up 4.2 runs per contest, including 5.7 per game over its last 10 games and 6.6 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .320/.373/.450 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that span.
First baseman Josh Bell and outfielder Starling Marte have led the way for the Pirates’ batters this year. Bell is slashing .332/.395/.681 with 18 home runs, 53 RBIs and 43 runs scored, and Marte is hitting .271 with seven homers, 25 RBIs, 33 runs and nine stolen bases.
For the visitors, Atlanta’s pitchers have allowed 4.8 runs per game and its starters own a 4.16 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 8.21 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.41, along with a K-per-9 of 9.61.
Braves hitters have slashed .257/.332/.435 on their way to 4.9 runs scored per game in 2019, including 5.3 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.4 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).
First baseman Freddie Freeman and second baseman Ozzie Albies have led Atlanta’s hitters. Freeman is hitting .305/.391/.562 with 14 home runs, 35 RBIs and 41 runs scored, while Albies is slashing .266/.320/.414 with seven homers, 25 RBIs and 33 runs scored.
The Braves have gained 4.0 units and are 7-8 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has cashed in 11 of those games, compared to three that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Pirates have lost 1.5 units and are 8-7 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 10 of those games, compared to five that’ve cashed the under.
Braves at Pirates Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Braves, ATS Winner – Braves, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- The under has cashed in only two of Pittsburgh’s last seven games.
- The Braves have hit 14 home runs in their last 10 games. The Pirates have hit 10 over their last 10.
- The Braves have an OPS of .768 this season and an OPS of .823 against left-handed pitchers. The Pirates’ OPS sits at .715 overall and .623 against lefties.
- Atlanta has posted 22.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 21.0 over its last five.
- The Pirates have dropped three of their last four games SU.
