The Atlanta Braves will be taking on their divisional rival Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park. The matchup will begin at 7:05 p.m. ET and fans hoping to watch it can tune in to Fox Sports Southeast.
Atlanta Braves at Philadelphia Phillies Odds
Atlanta (+110) is entering this game as the underdog to Philadelphia (-120) and oddsmakers have the Over/Under for this game at 9 runs. The odds for wagering on the games total sit at +100 for the under and -120 for the over. Bettors can also wager on the games spread with the most recent runline odds sitting at -190 for the Braves +1.5 runs and +165 for the Phillies -1.5 runs.
The Phillies are 27-18 SU and 21-23 ATS. They’ve gained 6.0 units for moneyline bettors while gaining 4.8 units against the spread (ATS). The Braves have gone 28-18 SU this year and are 28-17 ATS. In total, the teams gained 13.9 units for moneyline gamblers in the seasons early going and 11.8 units ATS.Neither side has been a strong over/under play this season. Philadelphia games have an over/under record of 20-21-3 so far in 2018. The Braves have an over/under record of 22-20-3.
Brandon McCarthy will get the start for the visiting Braves. The right-handed McCarthy is 4-2 with a 5.05 ERA and 38 strikeouts. He’s 3-0 with 17 strikeouts and a 2.25 ERA against Philadelphia this year.
The Phillies are putting the ball in the hands of righty Vince Velasquez (4-4, 4.37 ERA), who has 55 strikeouts and 16 walks, as well as a 1.31 WHIP. Velasquez is 0-3 with 15 strikeouts and a 9.24 ERA in one start against Atlanta this year.
As a unit, Philadelphia’s pitching staff has yielded 3.8 runs per game overall in 2018. The club’s starting pitching staff has a 3.38 ERA, 1.18 WHIP and 8.6 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.72 ERA, 1.33 WHIP and 9.0 K/9. In 23 games against divisional opponents, Phillies starters have an ERA of 3.73 and the bullpens ERA is 4.32.
The Philadelphia offense is putting up 4.6 runs per contest, including 3.9 per game against divisional foes and 4.2 per game over its last five. The team has hit .210/.275/.383 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.
The Phillies hitters have been led by right fielder Odubel Herrera and second baseman Cesar Hernandez. Herrera is slashing .348/.413/.543 with seven home runs, 30 RBIs and 24 runs scored, and Hernandez line is .278/.391/.438 with six homers, 15 RBIs, 34 runs and nine steals.
For the visitors, Atlanta’s pitchers have allowed 3.9 runs per game and its starters own a 3.47 ERA, 1.34 WHIP and 8.86 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 3.55, along with a WHIP of 1.34.
Braves hitters have slashed .264/.338/.431 on their way to 5.3 runs scored per game this season, including 5.7 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.4 per game over the teams last five contests (3-2 SU).
Atlanta’s offense has been powered by first baseman Freddie Freeman and right fielder Nick Markakis, who have combined to launch 16 home runs. Freeman is hitting .324/.428/.561 with nine home runs, 35 RBIs, 32 runs and five steals, while Markakis is hitting .341/.409/.514 with seven homers, 32 RBIs and 31 runs scored.
Compared to his total season slash line of .275/.354/.384, Markakis thrived hitting against righties on the road last season, maintaining a slash line of .327/.428/.442 over 257 such plate appearances.
The Braves have gained 7.6 units and are 21-12 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 15 of those games, compared to 15 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Phillies have netted 3.3 units and are 15-18 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has hit in 15 of those games, compared to 16 that went under the total.
Atlanta Braves at Philadelphia Phillies MLB Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Phillies, ATS Winner – Braves, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- The under has hit in five of Philadelphia’s last seven games.
- Philadelphia has recorded 20.7 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 18.2 over its last five.
- The Braves have hit 13 home runs in their last 10 games. The Phillies have hit 14 over their last 10.
