Freddie Freeman and the Atlanta Braves are traveling north to face their divisional rival Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park. NBC Sports Philadelphia will be televising the matchup and the game will get underway at 7:05 p.m. ET.
Atlanta Braves at Philadelphia Phillies Odds
Philadelphia (-135) is the favorite over Atlanta (+125) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this one at nine runs (+100 for the over and -120 for the under). This game currently has a runline of Braves +1.5 (-170) and Phillies -1.5 (+150).
The Braves have gone 89-55 SU this year and are 72-71 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 23.8 units for moneyline bettors and 2.3 units ATS. The Phillies, on the other hand, are 74-68 SU and 67-74 ATS. They’ve lost 5.6 units for moneyline bettors and 7.4 units ATS.
Phillies games have an over/under record of 66-71-4 in 2019. Braves games have gone over 68 times, gone under 67 times and pushed on eight instances.
Mike Foltynewicz will get the nod for the visiting Braves. The right-handed Foltynewicz (5-5, 5.28 ERA) has recorded 81 strikeouts in 92 innings so far. He’s 1-0 with six strikeouts and a 1.50 ERA against Philadelphia this year.
The Phillies are sending righty Aaron Nola (12-4, 3.63 ERA) to the mound. Nola has 200 punchouts and 67 walks as well as a WHIP of 1.23. Nola is 3-0 with 28 strikeouts and a 3.60 ERA across four starts against Atlanta this year.
Atlanta’s pitchers have allowed 4.7 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.14 ERA, 1.34 WHIP and 8.24 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.43, along with a K-per-9 of 9.25.
The Braves offense has slashed .259/.339/.457 on its way to 5.4 runs scored per game this year, including 5.6 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (4-1 SU).
First baseman Freddie Freeman and second baseman Ozzie Albies have led Atlanta’s hitters. Freeman is hitting .299/.391/.570 with 38 home runs, 115 RBIs and 109 runs scored. Albies is hitting .288 with 21 homers, 75 RBIs, 92 runs and 15 stolen bases.
In the other dugout, Philadelphia’s pitching staff has allowed 4.9 runs per game overall in 2019. The club’s starters have a 4.57 ERA, 1.35 WHIP and 8.2 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.64 ERA, 1.44 WHIP and 8.8 K/9. In 61 games against NL East opponents, Phillies starters have an ERA of 4.77 and the bullpen’s ERA is 5.76.
The Philadelphia hitters are putting up 4.9 runs per contest, including 5.3 per game against divisional foes and 5.4 per game over their last five. The team has hit .255/.305/.473 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that span.
The Phillies’ offense has been led by shortstop Jean Segura and second baseman Cesar Hernandez. Segura is hitting .288/.332/.434 with 11 home runs, 54 RBIs and 76 runs scored, and Hernandez’s line sits at .280/.332/.395 with nine homers, 60 RBIs and 67 runs.
The Braves have gained 15.2 units and are 55-56 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 53 of those games, compared to 53 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Phillies have netted 4.5 units and are 52-52 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has hit in 49 of those games, compared to 51 that went under the total.
Braves vs. Phillies Free Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Phillies, ATS Winner – Braves, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- The under has hit in five of Philadelphia’s last seven games.
- The Atlanta defense has allowed zero errors over the last five outin, compared to three errors for Philadelphia over its last five.
- The Braves have hit 17 home runs in their last 10 games, including nine over their last five.
- The Braves have a team OPS of .796 this season and an OPS of .798 when facing right-handed pitchers. The Phillies’ OPS stands at .754 overall and .742 versus righties.
