The streaking Minnesota Twins will go for their fifth straight win as they play host to the Atlanta Braves at Target Field. Fox Sports North will be televising this interleague showdown and the action gets going at 8:10 p.m. ET.
Atlanta Braves at Minnesota Twins Odds
Minnesota (-150) is hosting this one as the favorite over Atlanta (+140) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this night game at 10.5 runs (-110 for the over and -110 for the under). Runline odds stand at -155 for picking the Braves +1.5 runs and +135 for the Twins -1.5 runs.
The Braves are 66-48 SU and are 53-60 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 10.2 units for moneyline bettors, despite having lost 6.3 units ATS. Atlanta has covered the spread just twice over its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Twins, on the other hand, are 70-42 SU and 61-50 ATS. The team’s gained 17.7 units for moneyline bettors and 7.4 units ATS. Minnesota has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the over has cashed in five of those seven.
Minnesota games have a 56-50-5 over/under record in 2019. Atlanta has also been a decent over bet with a total record of 57-50-6.
Mike Foltynewicz is getting the start for the Braves. The right-handed Foltynewicz is 2-5 with a 6.37 ERA and 50 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Twins this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.
The Twins are putting the ball in the right hand of Jose Berrios (10-5, 2.80 ERA), who’s got 133 strikeouts and 30 walks this season as well as a 1.10 WHIP. Berrios did not record a start against the Braves in 2018.
As a unit, Minnesota’s pitching staff has given up 4.5 runs per game overall in 2019. The team’s starters have a 3.75 ERA, 1.20 WHIP and 8.3 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.42 ERA, 1.37 WHIP and 9.4 K/9.
Minnesota’s offense is putting up 5.8 runs per contest, including 6.1 per game over its last 10 games and 6.8 per game over its last five. The team has hit .264/.319/.483 over its last five matchups and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.
Shortstop Jorge Polanco and right fielder Max Kepler have paced the Twins’ offense this year. Polanco is hitting .297/.356/.501 with 17 home runs, 55 RBIs and 70 runs scored, and Kepler is hitting .266 with 31 homers, 77 RBIs and 76 runs.
In the visiting dugout, Atlanta’s pitchers have allowed 4.8 runs per game and its starters own a 4.44 ERA, 1.37 WHIP and 8.02 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.19, along with a K-per-9 of 9.26.
The Braves offense has slashed .262/.338/.457 on its way to 5.3 runs scored per game in 2019, including 5.6 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.6 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).
Left fielder Ronald Acuna Jr. and first baseman Freddie Freeman continue to lead Atlanta’s hitters. Acuna Jr. is hitting .291/.372/.505 with 27 home runs, 70 RBIs, 88 runs and 25 stolen bases, while Freeman is hitting .303/.396/.562 with 27 homers, 87 RBIs and 86 runs scored.
The Braves have gained 8.9 units and are 42-46 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 44 of those games, compared to 40 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Twins have netted 19.1 units and are 46-39 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has hit in 41 of those games, compared to 41 that went under the total.
Braves at Twins Free MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Twins, ATS Winner – Braves, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- The over has cashed in three of Atlanta’s last seven outings.
- Each team has swatted 20 home runs over its last 10 games.
- The Braves have a total OPS of .796 this season and an OPS of .797 against right-handed pitchers. The Twins’ OPS stands at .839 overall and .827 versus righties.
- Minnesota has recorded 22.9 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 25.2 over its last five.
- The Braves have lost three of their last four games SU while the Twins have taken seven of their last eight.
