Atlanta Braves vs. Colorado Rockies Free Pick

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The Atlanta Braves will be facing off against the Colorado Rockies at Coors Field. This NL matchup starts at 1:10 p.m. ET and you can watch the game on ATRM and FSSO.

Atlanta Braves at Colorado Rockies Odds

Vegas is listing Atlanta (-170) as the favorite over Colorado (+150). Gamblers can wager on the games total with odds posted at even money (+100) for over 11.5 runs and -120 for under 11.5. Runline odds sit at +130 for betting the Braves +1.5 runs and -140 for the Rockies -1.5 runs.

The Braves have gone 5-3 SU this year and are 6-1 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 4.5 units for moneyline gamblers in the seasons early going and 5.5 units ATS. The Rockies are 5-4 SU and 5-3 ATS. The team has lost 0.2 units for moneyline bettors while gaining 3.0 units ATS.

Rockies games have an over/under record of 5-2-1 so far in 2018. Atlanta has an over/under record of 4-0-3.

The Braves have lost units and are – ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. On the other hand, the Rockies have lost 0.0 units and are 3-1 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in two of those games, compared to one which went under the total.

Sean Newcomb (0-1, 10.38 ERA) will get the start for the visiting Braves. The left-handed Newcomb struck out 108 hitters in 99 innings last year (19 starts) but finished the season 4-9 overall with a 4.32 ERA and a 1.57 WHIP. He made two starts against the Rockies in 2017 and put together a 0-0 record against them with a 5.91 ERA and 13 strikeouts.

The Rockies have tabbed lefty Kyle Freeland (0-1, 6.75 ERA) as their starter. Freeland started 28 games last year while finishing the season 11-11 overall with a 4.10 ERA and a 1.49 WHIP. He made two starts against the Braves a year ago and compiled a 0-0 record with a 5.25 ERA and 10 strikeouts.

As a unit, Colorado’s pitching staff has allowed 4.8 runs per game overall in 2018. The teams starters have a 4.80 ERA, 1.53 WHIP and 7.4 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.50 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and 7.4 K/9.

The Colorado offense has put up 4.1 runs per outing, including 3.6 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .214/.313/.327 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.

The Rockies offense has been led by right fielder Charlie Blackmon and second baseman DJ LeMahieu. Blackmon is slashing .278/.366/.667 with 10 hits, six RBIs and nine runs scored, and LeMahieu’s line is .294/.415/.529 with 10 hits, four RBIs and five runs.

Compared to his total season slash line of .331/.399/.601, Blackmon performed well against lefty pitching at home last season, slashing .412/.474/.745 over 114 such plate appearances.

For the visitors, Atlanta’s pitching staff allowed 4.1 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 5.54 ERA, 1.56 WHIP and 9.46 K/9. The bullpen has managed an excellent ERA of just 1.51, along with a K/9 of 8.83.

The Braves offense has slashed .291/.379/.465 on its way to 7.3 runs scored per game this season, including over the teams last five outings (3-2 SU).

First baseman Freddie Freeman and third baseman Ryan Flaherty have led Atlanta’s hitters. Freeman is slashing .370/.564/.741 with 10 hits, 11 RBIs and 10 runs scored, while Flaherty has a .414 average with 12 hits, three RBIs and seven runs scored.

Freeman seemed to have a little trouble hitting left-handed pitchers last season, maintaining a slash line of .278/.357/.524 across 143 plate appearances (his overall season line was .307/.403/.586).

Atlanta Braves at Colorado Rockies Free MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Rockies, ATS Winner – Braves, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The Rockies went 4-3 SU against the Braves in 2017.
  • The Rockies have won three of their last four games SU,
  • The Braves bullpen posted an ERA of 7.54 against the Rockies last year.