Freddie Freeman and the Atlanta Braves will head north to face their divisional foe Washington Nationals at Nationals Park. Mid-Atlantic Sports Network will televise the matchup and the game is scheduled to get underway at 7:05 p.m. ET.
Atlanta Braves vs. Washington Nationals Odds
Atlanta (+150) is hosting this one as the underdog against Washington (-160) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this one at 8.5 runs. The odds for betting on the game’s total sit at -120 for the under and +100 for the over. This game currently has a runline of Braves +1.5 (-145) and Nationals -1.5 (+125).
The Braves have gone 91-57 SU this year and are 74-73 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 23.4 units for moneyline gamblers and 1.8 units ATS. Atlanta has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. The Nationals, on the other hand, are 81-64 SU and 80-64 ATS. The team has lost 1.8 units for moneyline bettors while earning 11.4 units ATS. Washington has a 3-4 ATS record over its last seven outings and the under has hit in five of those seven.
Washington games have an over/under record of 68-69-7 in 2019. The Braves have an over/under record of 71-68-8.
The right-handed Mike Soroka will get the nod for the visiting Braves. Soroka is 11-4 with a 2.67 ERA and 126 strikeouts. He’s 0-2 with 15 strikeouts and a 3.86 ERA against Washington this year (four starts).
The Nationals are putting the ball in the hands of righty Max Scherzer (10-5, 2.56 ERA), who’s got 216 punchouts and 30 walks as well as a 1.00 WHIP. Scherzer is 1-0 with nine strikeouts and a 1.50 ERA in one start against Atlanta this year.
Atlanta’s pitchers have allowed 4.7 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.16 ERA, 1.34 WHIP and 8.25 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.43, along with a WHIP of 1.34 and a K/9 of 9.28.
Braves hitters have slashed .258/.339/.457 on their way to 5.3 runs scored per game this season, including 5.5 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).
First baseman Freddie Freeman and second baseman Ozzie Albies continue to lead Atlanta’s hitters. Freeman is slashing .303/.393/.568 with 38 home runs, 117 RBIs and 111 runs scored. Albies (.290/.349/.494) has produced 22 homers, 78 RBIs, 94 runs and 15 steals.
In the home-team dugout, Washington’s pitchers have given up 4.6 runs per game overall in 2019. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 3.59, a WHIP of 1.20 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.6. The bullpen has a 5.81 ERA, 1.51 WHIP and 9.0 K/9. In 65 games against NL East opponents, Nationals starters have an ERA of 3.68 and the bullpen’s ERA is 6.27.
The Washington offense is putting up 5.4 runs per contest, including 5.5 per game against divisional foes and 6.2 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .270/.345/.546 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.
The Nationals’ batters have been led by third baseman Anthony Rendon and left fielder Juan Soto. Rendon is slashing .335/.418/.631 with 33 home runs, 117 RBIs and 111 runs scored, while Soto’s line is .296/.405/.579 with 34 homers, 105 RBIs and 101 runs.
The Braves have gained 16.5 units and are 57-57 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in 55 of those games, as opposed to 54 that’ve hit the under against righty starters. On the other hand, the Nationals have lost 1.9 units and are 59-47 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s cashed in 52 of those games, compared to 51 that went under the total.
Braves at Nationals Free MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Nationals, ATS Winner – Braves, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- The over has cashed in three of Atlanta’s last seven contests.
- Atlanta fielders have zero errors over the last 10 games, compared to five errors for Washington over its last 10.
- The Braves have hit 18 home runs in their last 10 games. The Nationals have hit 16 over their last 10.
- The Braves have a total OPS of .796 this season and an OPS of .797 when facing right-handed pitchers. The Nationals’ OPS sits at .798 overall and .788 against righties.
