The Atlanta Braves will head north to Nationals Park to take on their NL East foe Washington Nationals. The matchup will get going at 7:05 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to Mid-Atlantic Sports Network to catch the game.
Atlanta Braves at Washington Nationals Odds
Vegas is listing Atlanta (+120) as the underdog to Washington (-130). If you think this game’s total will go under 9 runs, bookmakers are currently offering -120 odds. Playing the over will give you even money (+100). Gamblers can also bet on the game’s runline with the odds sitting at Braves +1.5 runs (-175) and Nationals -1.5 runs (+155).
The Nationals are 56-49 straight up (SU) and 55-49 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 9.4 units for moneyline bettors while gaining 1.0 unit ATS. Washington has covered the spread only twice in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Braves, on the other hand, are 62-44 SU and have gone 51-54 ATS. In total, the club has gained 11.1 units for moneyline gamblers, but have lost 1.2 units ATS. Atlanta has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven.
Nationals games have an over/under record of 47-51-6 in 2019. Atlanta has been a decent over bet with a total record of 53-46-6.
Dallas Keuchel will get the start for the visiting Braves. The southpaw Keuchel is 3-3 with a 3.50 ERA and 34 strikeouts. He’s 0-1 with three strikeouts and a 5.40 ERA against Washington this year.
The Nationals will be sending lefty Patrick Corbin (8-5, 3.25 ERA) to the hill. Corbin has 151 strikeouts and 40 walks to his credit, along with a 1.15 WHIP. Corbin is 0-0 with five strikeouts and a 3.60 ERA in one start against Atlanta this year.
As a unit, Washington’s pitchers have given up 4.5 runs per game overall this year. The club’s starting pitching staff has a 3.41 ERA, 1.17 WHIP and 9.9 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 6.07 ERA, 1.56 WHIP and 9.2 K/9. In 49 divisional games, Nationals starters have an ERA of 3.15 and the bullpen’s ERA is 7.04.
The Washington hitters have produced 5.0 runs per outing, including 5.4 per game against divisional foes and 5.0 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .256/.354/.451 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that span.
The Nationals’ offense has been led by right fielder Adam Eaton and third baseman Anthony Rendon. Eaton is slashing .284/.363/.405 with seven home runs, 28 RBIs, 60 runs and 10 stolen bases, and Rendon’s line sits at .317/.405/.610 with 22 homers, 76 RBIs and 74 runs.
For the visitors, Atlanta’s pitching staff allowed 4.8 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.47 ERA, 1.38 WHIP and 8.17 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.04, along with a K/9 of 9.42.
The Braves offense has slashed .262/.339/.456 on its way to 5.3 runs scored per game this season, including 5.8 runs per game against divisional foes and 6.4 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).
Atlanta’s hitters have been led by outfielder Ronald Acuna Jr. and first baseman Freddie Freeman, who collectively have swatted 50 home runs. Acuna Jr. is hitting .295/.380/.507 with 25 home runs, 64 RBIs, 83 runs and 24 stolen bases, while Freeman (.303/.395/.562) has produced 25 homers, 81 RBIs and 78 runs scored.
The Braves have gained 3.9 units and are 11-12 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 13 of those games, compared to eight that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Nationals have lost 7.4 units and are 11-14 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over’s hit in 12 of those games, compared to 10 that went under.
Braves vs. Nationals Free Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Nationals, ATS Winner – Braves, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- Atlanta has tallied 15 extra-base hits over its last five outings. Washington has 18 XBH over its last five.
- The Braves have a total OPS of .795 this season, including an OPS of .800 against left-handed pitchers. The Nationals’ OPS sits at .770 overall and .823 against lefties.
- Atlanta has posted 24.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 25.2 over its last five.
- The Braves have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games, including seven over their last five.
