The Philadelphia Phillies will face off against the Atlanta Braves at Citizens Bank Park. Fox Sports Sun will broadcast the matchup and the game is scheduled to get underway at 7:05 p.m. ET.
Atlanta Braves at Philadelphia Phillies Odds
Atlanta (receiving -125) is favored over Philadelphia (+115) and oddsmakers have the Over/Under for this night game at 9.5 runs (-110 for the over and -110 for the under). Runline odds sit at +120 for taking the Braves -1.5 runs and -140 for the Phillies +1.5 runs.
The Phillies are 54-49 straight up (SU) and 48-54 against the spread (ATS). The team hasn’t strayed too far from expectations, losing 1.1 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 7.3 units ATS. The Braves have gone 61-43 SU this year and are 49-54 against the spread. In total, the club has accumulated 9.1 units for moneyline gamblers, but have lost 3.4 units ATS.
Philadelphia games have an over/under record of 47-51-4 in 2019. Atlanta has an over/under record of 51-46-6.
Max Fried will get the start for the visiting Braves. The left-handed Fried (10-4, 4.08 ERA) has racked up 102 strikeouts in 103.2 innings so far. He’s 0-0 with four strikeouts and a 7.11 ERA against Philadelphia this year.
The Phillies are putting the ball in the right hand of Zach Eflin (7-10, 4.25 ERA), who’s got 91 strikeouts and 27 walks as well as a 1.32 WHIP. Eflin is 0-1 with three strikeouts and an 18.00 ERA in one start against Atlanta this year.
Philadelphia’s pitchers have given up 4.9 runs per game overall this year as a unit. The club’s starters have a 4.51 ERA, 1.35 WHIP and 8.2 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.74 ERA, 1.45 WHIP and 9.0 K/9. In 50 games against NL East foes, Phillies starters have an ERA of 4.64 and the bullpen’s ERA is 5.26.
Philadelphia’s offense is putting up 4.7 runs per outing, including 5.1 per game against divisional foes and 2.4 per game over its last five. The team has hit .206/.267/.340 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.
Cesar Hernandez has helped lead the Phillies’ offense this season with seven home runs, 43 RBIs and 46 runs scored.
In the visiting dugout, Atlanta’s pitching staff allowed 4.7 runs per game and its starters own a 4.40 ERA, 1.37 WHIP and 8.11 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.98, along with a K/9 of 9.32.
The Braves offense has slashed .261/.338/.453 on its way to 5.3 runs scored per game this year, including 5.6 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.6 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).
Atlanta’s hitters have been paced by Freddie Freeman. Freeman is hitting .304/.390/.563 with 25 home runs, 81 RBIs and 75 runs scored.
The Braves are looking for another win after a 9-2 victory in the prior game of the series.
Braves at Phillies Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Braves, ATS Winner – Braves, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- The under has cashed in six of Atlanta’s last seven games.
- The Braves have hit eight home runs in their last 10 games. The Phillies have hit 11 over their last 10.
- The Braves have a total OPS of .791 this season and an OPS of .786 against right-handed pitchers. The Phillies’ OPS sits at .739 overall and .733 versus righties.
- Philadelphia has recorded 20.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 18.4 over its last five.
