The Minnesota Twins are seeking their fourth consecutive win as they play host to the Atlanta Braves at Target Field. Fox Sports North will televise this interleague matchup and the action gets going at 8:10 p.m. ET.
Atlanta Braves vs. Minnesota Twins Odds
Oddsmakers are listing Atlanta (-110) as the favorite over Minnesota (+100). If you think the game’s total will go under 10 runs, bookmakers are currently offering -110 odds. Picking the over will give you -110 odds. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the runline odds sitting at +135 for the Braves -1.5 runs and -155 for the Twins +1.5.
The Braves are 66-47 SU and have gone 53-59 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 11.3 units for bettors taking the moneyline, despite having lost 5.3 units ATS. Atlanta has covered the spread just twice over its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. The Twins, on the other hand, are 69-42 SU and 60-50 ATS. They’ve gained 16.7 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 6.4 units ATS. Minnesota has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven.
Minnesota games have a 56-49-5 over/under record in 2019. The Braves have also been a decent over bet with a total record of 56-50-6.
The right-handed Mike Soroka is the projected starter for the visiting Braves. Soroka is 10-2 with a 2.37 ERA and 94 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Twins this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.
The Twins are turning to Jake Odorizzi (12-5, 3.73 ERA). Odorizzi has 113 strikeouts and 37 walks, along with a 1.19 WHIP. Odorizzi did not record a start against the Braves in 2018.
Minnesota’s pitching staff has given up 4.5 runs per game overall in 2019 as a unit. The club’s starting pitching staff has an ERA of 3.77, a WHIP of 1.20 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.3. The bullpen has a 4.43 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and 9.4 K/9.
The Minnesota hitters are putting up 5.8 runs per outing, including 6.6 per game over its last 10 games and 7.2 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .264/.337/.517 over its last five games and is 4-1 SU during that span.
The Twins’ offense has been led by shortstop Jorge Polanco and outfielder Max Kepler. Polanco is slashing .299/.359/.506 with 17 home runs, 55 RBIs and 70 runs scored, while Kepler is batting .266 with 30 homers, 76 RBIs and 75 runs scored.
In the visiting dugout, Atlanta’s pitching staff allowed 4.8 runs per game and its starters own a 4.45 ERA, 1.37 WHIP and 8.07 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.17, along with a K/9 of 9.26.
The Braves offense has slashed .262/.338/.458 on its way to 5.3 runs scored per game in 2019, including 6.2 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).
Left fielder Ronald Acuna Jr. and first baseman Freddie Freeman have led Atlanta’s offense. Acuna Jr. is slashing .289/.372/.507 with 27 home runs, 70 RBIs, 87 runs and 25 stolen bases, while Freeman (.301/.394/.556) has produced 26 homers, 86 RBIs and 85 runs scored.
The Braves have gained 10.2 units and are 42-45 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 43 of those games, compared to 40 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Twins have netted 18.1 units and are 45-39 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 41 of those games, as opposed to 40 that’ve cashed the under.
Braves at Twins MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Twins, ATS Winner – Twins, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- The over has cashed in five of Minnesota’s last seven games.
- The Braves have hit 20 home runs in their last 10 games. The Twins have hit 23 over their last 10.
- The Braves have a total OPS of .797 this season and an OPS of .798 when facing right-handed pitchers. The Twins’ OPS stands at .840 overall and .828 versus righties.
- Minnesota has recorded 24.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 25.6 over its last five.
- The Twins have won six of their last seven games SU.
