Freddie Freeman and the Atlanta Braves will head north to Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds. Fox Sports Ohio will broadcast this NL showdown and the game gets underway at 6:40 p.m. ET.
Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds Odds
Las Vegas has Atlanta (+100) as the underdog to Cincinnati (-110). If you’re thinking this game’s total is going to finish below 9 runs scored, then Vegas is putting up even money odds (+100) to play the under. Playing the over can return -120 odds. This game currently has a runline of Braves +1.5 (-210) and Reds -1.5 (+175).
The Reds are 13-8 against the spread (ATS)despite being only 8-13 straight up (SU). They’ve lost 4.9 units for moneyline bettors while gaining 4.3 units ATS. Cincinnati has covered the spread six times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in all seven of them. The Braves are 11-10 SU and have gone 10-11 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 0.8 units for moneyline gamblers in the season’s early going and 0.7 units ATS. Atlanta is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the over has cashed in five of those seven.
Cincinnati games have an over/under record of 4-17 so far in 2019. The Braves have an over/under record of 11-8-2.
Kevin Gausman will get the nod for Atlanta. The right-handed Gausman is 1-1 with a 2.75 ERA and 22 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Reds this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.
The Reds are turning to righty Sonny Gray (0-3, 2.79 ERA), who’s got 22 strikeouts and six walks as well as a WHIP of 0.93. Gray did not record a start against the Braves in 2018.
Atlanta’s pitching staff allowed 4.9 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.68 ERA, 1.44 WHIP and 8.18 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.71, along with a K/9 of 10.31.
Braves hitters have slashed .266/.362/.456 on their way to 5.4 runs scored per game this year, including 5.5 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).
Atlanta’s hitters have been led by first baseman Freddie Freeman and outfielder Nick Markakis. Freeman is hitting .316/.443/.481 with 25 hits, 12 RBIs and 19 runs scored, while Markakis has a .338 average with 25 hits, two homers, 16 RBIs and 15 runs scored.
In the other dugout, Cincinnati’s pitching staff has given up 3.2 runs per game overall this year. Its starters have a 3.20 ERA, 1.16 WHIP and 10.3 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.25 ERA, 1.32 WHIP and 9.4 K/9.
The Cincinnati offense has put up 3.4 runs per contest, including 3.5 per game over its last 10 games and 3.2 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .170/.213/.327 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.
The Reds’ offense has been led by third baseman Eugenio Suarez and first baseman Joey Votto. Suarez is hitting .235/.342/.515 with 16 hits, five home runs, nine RBIs and eight runs scored, and Votto’s line is .227/.311/.409 with 15 hits, four RBIs and nine runs.
The Braves have lost 2.3 units and are 7-8 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in seven of those games, compared to seven that’ve gone under against righty starters. On the other hand, the Reds have lost 5.0 units and are 9-8 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in four of those games, as opposed to 13 which went under the total.
Braves at Reds Free Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Reds, ATS Winner – Braves, O/U – UNDER
Betting Notes
- Atlanta has logged 17 extra-base hits over its last five outings. Cincinnati has 10 XBH over its last five.
- Cincinnati has recorded 16.5 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 14.4 over its last five.
- The Braves have hit 15 home runs in their last 10 games. The Reds have hit 14 over their last 10.
- The Braves have an OPS of .818 this season and an OPS of .774 against right-handed pitchers. The Reds’ OPS sits at .635 overall and .613 against righties.
