The Arizona Diamondbacks will head east to take on the New York Mets at Citi Field. SportsNet New York will broadcast this NL matchup. The first pitch will be at 7:10 p.m. ET.
Arizona Diamondbacks at New York Mets Odds
Vegas is listing New York (-205) as the favorite over Arizona (+187). The total stands at 7.5 runs and bettors can take either the over or the under for -110. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the current odds sitting at -115 for the Diamondbacks +1.5 runs and -105 for the Mets -1.5.
The Diamondbacks have gone 75-68 SU this year and are 81-61 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 8.7 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 15.8 units ATS. Arizona’s covered the spread six times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Mets, on the other hand, are 72-70 SU and 72-69 ATS. The team’s lost 8.3 units for moneyline bettors and 4.6 units ATS. New York has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven.
New York games have had an over/under record of 72-57-12 in 2019. The Diamondbacks have an over/under record of 65-66-11.
Merrill Kelly is getting the nod for Arizona. The right-handed Kelly is 10-13 with a 4.69 ERA and 132 strikeouts. He’s 1-0 with 10 strikeouts and a 1.17 ERA against New York this year.
The Mets are handing the ball to righty Jacob deGrom (8-8, 2.76 ERA), who has 220 strikeouts and 42 walks, along with a WHIP of 1.05. deGrom is 0-0 with seven strikeouts and a 1.35 ERA in one start against Arizona this year.
New York’s pitching staff has given up 4.7 runs per game overall this year as a unit. Its starters have an ERA of 3.99, a WHIP of 1.26 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.1. The bullpen has a 5.22 ERA, 1.46 WHIP and 9.6 K/9.
New York’s offense is putting up 4.9 runs per contest, including 5.7 per game over its last 10 games and 6.0 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .301/.385/.506 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that span.
The Mets’ hitters have been led by shortstop Amed Rosario and left fielder Jeff McNeil. Rosario is slashing .287/.322/.426 with 12 home runs, 59 RBIs, 67 runs and 16 stolen bases, while McNeil’s line sits at .325/.394/.523 with 18 homers, 65 RBIs and 73 runs.
In the other dugout, Arizona’s pitching staff allowed 4.6 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.29 ERA, 1.28 WHIP and 8.65 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.36, along with a WHIP of 1.28 and a K/9 of 8.73.
Diamondbacks hitters have slashed .257/.328/.446 on their way to 5.2 runs scored per game this year, including 5.7 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.6 per game over the team’s last five contests (4-1 SU).
Ketel Marte and Eduardo Escobar continue to lead Arizona’s hitters. Marte is slashing .330/.390/.599 with 32 home runs, 91 RBIs and 95 runs scored, while Escobar (.270/.323/.530) has produced 33 homers, 110 RBIs and 89 runs scored.
The Diamondbacks have gained 1.1 units and are 59-43 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 41 of those games, compared to 54 that’ve hit the under against righties. On the other hand, the Mets have netted 0.1 units and are 54-52 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 58 of those games, compared to 39 that’ve cashed the under.
Diamondbacks at Mets Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Mets, ATS Winner – Diamondbacks, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- Arizona has tallied 13 extra-base hits over its last five games. New York has 16 XBH over its last five.
- The Diamondbacks have a total OPS of .774 this season and an OPS of .739 against right-handed pitchers. The Mets’ OPS sits at .768 overall and .760 versus righties.
- New York has posted 25.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 27.2 over its last five.
- The Diamondbacks have hit 14 home runs in their last 10 games. The Mets have hit 16 over their last 10.
